Victoria 2018 – two-party-preferred, mapped
In today's edition, I'm updating a map I produced on request to include the two-party-preferred vote (and swing) in 87 out of 88 seats.
The VEC published two-party-preferred figures in seats where the two-candidate-preferred was not between Labor and Coalition (this electorate-level data is available...
Victoria 2018 – Greens vote, mapped
Today's maps focus on the performance of the Greens, who went backwards in terms of votes, yet managed to win a record number of lower house seats at a general election.
This first map shows the primary vote swing for the Greens in the 88...
Victoria 2018 – mapping the state
I have just finished my collection of election data for the Victorian state election.
This collection features the full list of booths with location information, the full list of candidates, primary vote and 2CP voting figures by booth, and voting figures by electorate and region...
Greens NSW – majoritarian preselections and walking away
I received an email yesterday from Justin Field, a Greens members of the NSW upper house, effectively laying out a threat that himself and his colleague Cate Faehrmann would quit the party unless the party met two of its demands:
https://twitter.com/benraue/status/1072732509757091840
Specifically they are asking that...
Vic 2018 – group voting tickets triumph over voters
The button was pushed this afternoon in the eight Victorian Legislative Council contests, producing provisional results (subject to any possible challenges where the race might be close.
The seat count by party is:
18 Labor (+4)
10 Liberal (-4)
1 Nationals (-1)
1 Greens (-4)
...
Podcast #16 – Victorian late counting
In the final episode of the Tally Room for 2018, I'm joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the close races in the Victorian state election, and to run through all eight Legislative Council contests just days out from the pushing of the button in...
The Liberal problem with women (it’s not about the voters)
Federal Liberal MP Tim Wilson was interviewed on Saturday morning, and was quoted as saying that "ultimately the public needs to vote" for all of the great female candidates his party is running.
https://twitter.com/verbaliza/status/1068626159292755968
Anyone who has read my previous analysis of gender balance would know...
Victoria 2018 – the early vote gap
I thought I would dive into some of the interesting data trends from last weekend's Victorian state election, since fellow bloggers William Bowe and Kevin Bonham are doing a great job tracking the close races as counting continues.
I've been interested in looking at how...
Podcast #15 – Victorian election results
Ben spoke to Paddy Manning from the Monthly and Stewart Jackson from the University of Sydney about the results of Saturday's Victorian state election, including a focus on the Greens' performance and preferences in the upper house.
You can subscribe to this podcast using this RSS...
Victoria 2018 – can below the line voting wind back the minor party wave?
The Legislative Council result at the moment looks like a big victory for Labor and the small parties, and a bad result for the Greens and the Coalition, but the impact of late counting and below the line votes is yet to be made...