NT redistribution – draft boundaries released

While we've been focused on the federal election, redistributions have been progressing for the local Legislative Assemblies in both the ACT and the Northern Territory. I blogged about the population numbers in the NT in April, and since then the first draft of the boundaries...

Senate count update – week four

We're now halfway through the fourth week of counting for the Senate, and the count has got close to the finish line, although we only have a final result in the Northern Territory, where Labor and the Country Liberal Party each retained their one...

Mapping the Molan BTL vote

Jim Molan grabbed a lot of attention in the election for his quixotic attempt to be re-elected from the fourth spot on the NSW Liberal/National ticket, despite New South Wales having a relatively low rate of below-the-line voting. He never came close to winning, but...

Map of the day – northern Tasmania

I received a request earlier this week to consider making a map showing the results of the map in Bass and Braddon, the two electorates in northern Tasmania won by Labor in 2016 and lost in 2019. The map in this post shows the two-candidate-preferred...

Map of the day – swings in opposite directions for Greens in Victoria

As I've been putting together these maps I was particularly interested in seeing what the booth map looked like for the Victorian Greens. There wasn't a consistent story to come out of the election when it comes to swings for the Greens. The Greens...

Swinging maps in Canberra

The Australian Capital Territory (ACT) never receives much attention in federal elections, but I found some interesting trends when I mapped out the results of the recent election, both in terms of the House and the Senate. The ACT received a third seat in the...

Federal 2019 – Swan’s booths move to the centre

Once you notice the trend of Liberal areas (particularly those with higher education and income levels) swinging towards Labor while Labor areas swing to the Coalition, you start to see the trend all over the place. One particularly good example is in the marginal Liberal...

The informal rate is rising, but more votes have been counted

After my post on Friday evening about turnout levels I've also done some further analysis into the rate of informal voting at the recent election. While it is true that the informal rate has increased compared to the 2016 election, it is still lower than...

The turnout is pretty good actually

The Sydney Morning Herald published an article this afternoon claiming that the recent federal election had "one of the lowest voter turnouts" in the last century. Further down the authors claim that the turnout is "on track to be lower than the 2016 election", despite acknowledging...

Swings without Turnbull – cumulative swings since 2013

With all of the conversation about large swings in particular parts of the country at the recent election, a few people have been discussing how much this election's trends are simply a reaction to the 2016 election, with Malcolm Turnbull and Scott Morrison appealing...