NSW 2019 – close race analysis

At the end of Saturday night I had a list of seven seats which I hadn't called. I have now done some further analysis with the extra votes that have reported today, and I am now ready to call a couple more seats and...

Podcast #21 – NSW election results

This morning I spoke to Osmond Chiu about the results of yesterday's NSW state election. You can subscribe to this podcast using this RSS feed in your podcast app of choice, but should also be able to find this podcast by searching for “the Tally...

NSW 2019 – mapping the swings

This is the first of a number of blog posts I'll be rolling out over today and tomorrow. I thought I'd start by attempting to map out the swings. This is a difficult task because quite a lot of votes (mostly pre-poll votes) haven't been...

NSW 2019 – election night live

11:35 - I'll leave this liveblog here. Sorry I wasn't around much, hopefully you found my posts at the Guardian. Apologies also if you had trouble accessing parts of the website. Hopefully it will be easy to access now. Unfortunately that's probably the reality...

NSW 2019 – election day

Polls have just opened across New South Wales. This post is just a placeholder and open thread to post comments during the day. I may post a few updates here if there are developments. The final Newspoll was released last night, with the Coalition on...

NSW 2019 – what would a hung parliament be like?

You can treat this as an opportunity to post your last-minute election predictions. There's a growing consensus that the most likely outcome in tomorrow's election is a hung parliament. That's certainly the opinion of the bookmakers. But what would that hung parliament look like? The hung...

NSW 2019 – will we see “Just Vote 1” on Saturday?

New South Wales elections are different to the rest of Australia. In all other federal and state lower house elections featuring single-member electorates, we use compulsory preferential voting (CPV) - you need to number every box for your vote to count. For NSW state elections,...

Podcast #20 – final week of the NSW election

Ben was joined by social researcher Rebecca Huntley and the Poll Bludger's William Bowe to talk about the key issues of the state election and the seats which will decide the result. Rebecca Huntley's new issue of Quarterly Essay, Australia Fair William Bowe's election blog Poll...

NSW 2019 – the race in the Hunter and the Central Coast

The Hunter and the Central Coast is a region mostly dominated by Labor, who recovered most of their ground in 2015 after a disastrous election in 2011. At the 2011 state election, the Liberal Party won all four seats on the Central Coast as well...

NSW 2019 – final how-to-votes released

We received a flood of new information about the state election yesterday morning at 8am, when the NSW Electoral Commission published every piece of electoral material registered to be used on election day (mostly how-to-votes). It's taken quite some time to open all of the...