NT election guide unlocked
Today is two months out from the Northern Territory election on August 24, so I thought it was about time to release the election guide for everyone to read.
You can find the guide here. There's profiles for all 25 electorates, with results tables and...
Northern Tablelands by-election live
8:11pm - I haven't bothered to pay too much attention, but with most booths reported now the Nationals primary is down to just under 65%. An easy win, so I won't be updating any further.
6:40pm - With ten booths reporting, the Nationals are on...
Podcast #122: Picking over the proposed federal redistributions
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to discuss the federal redistribution proposals for New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia. We discuss the process, what has been proposed, the political impact of those proposals and how it might affect preselections,...
Hornsby by-election incoming after Kean’s resignation
Former NSW treasurer Matt Kean has chosen today, NSW budget day, to announce that he will be retiring from state politics, thus triggering a by-election for his seat of Hornsby.
He has also said that he won't run for federal politics, dismissing speculation about a...
How Hume moved from Albury to Leppington
One of the interesting changes in the NSW redistribution proposal was the decisive shift of Hume towards Sydney.
Looking at the proposed boundaries for the seat, I realised that they look quite similar to the boundaries of a seat that I was familiar with almost...
Further NSW redistribution analysis
Following the publication of the proposals for the Victorian and WA redistributions, I put together two posts analysing different angles at a deeper level than the original analysis.
Rather than fully revisiting the topics, I thought I would just use one post to apply the...
NSW federal redistribution drafts released – live
3:06pm - I'll be wrapping up the live blog here. There's a few extra bits of analysis I'd like to do, but I'll leave those for another blog post.
If you want to see me talking about the redistribution I will be doing a webinar...
How the redistributions would have looked with 2019’s results
After the publication of the proposed boundaries for Victoria and Western Australia for the next federal election, I had a number of questions about how the boundaries would have looked on the 2019 votes, particularly in WA.
There was a big change in votes between...
Podcast #121: Democracy for busy people
Ben is joined by Kevin Elliott, author of the book Democracy for Busy People to discuss the value of importance of designing democratic institutions but are broad, not just deep, and make it easy for all citizens to participate. We also discuss the importance of...
How the redistributions are shifting the margins
Last Friday's analysis tended to focus on two scales: either the level of the individual seat, or looking at the party totals across each state.
At the federal redistributions in Victoria and Western Australia, three seats had a change in party status: Bullwinkel was created...