Pre-poll voting breaks record

As of the end of voting on Wednesday night, just over 3.5 million Australians had cast a vote via pre-poll. This broke the record of just over 3.2 million pre-poll votes which were cast in the entirety of the 2016 campaign. Almost 500,000 people voted...

Federal 2019 – the race in Tasmania

There are five constitutionally-guaranteed seats in Tasmania. Four of these seats are held by Labor, while the fifth is held by independent MP Andrew Wilkie. Labor came close to a wipe-out in 2013, losing the three northernmost seats to the Liberal Party, before winning them...

Federal 2019 – the race in regional Queensland

There are ten seats in Queensland outside of the south-eastern corner, including central and northern Queensland plus a handful of seats further inland. The Liberal National Party holds eight of these seats, along with one Labor and one seat held by Katter's Australian Party,...

Federal 2019 – what are your predictions?

We are now three days away from polls opening in the federal election, and I've seen a number of commenters posting their broader predictions about which seats they think will flip on Saturday, so I thought it was time to post a thread for...

Podcast #26 – Anti-politics and how to watch election night

Ben is joined by William Bowe and Elizabeth Humphrys to discuss anti-politics and election night - in particular what seats are worth watching and when you should expect results to come in. Thanks to 2SER radio in Sydney for the use of their studio. You can...

Federal 2019 – the race in southern NSW and the ACT

For my next regional focus I decided to split regional New South Wales into two areas: north and south. Today I'll be looking at the seven seats in southern NSW, plus the three seats in the ACT. Labor holds six of these seats, the Liberal...

United Australia – where might their vote come from?

Clive Palmer's United Australia Party is running a big campaign in this federal election, with a big-budget national advertising campaign. It's hard to know how well they will perform, but it'd be silly to ignore a party with such a big campaign. In one sense...

Plan out your vote with this how-to-vote tool

We've now got one more week before election day and a few people have been asking me for advice about how to plan out their preferences in the Senate. There are a few dozen columns on the Senate ballot in the bigger states, and even...

Federal 2019 – the race in Melbourne

There are 25 federal electorates in the Melbourne metropolitan area. Labor won 16 of these seats in 2016, with the Liberal Party winning eight and the Greens winning one. There are nine seats I wanted to zoom in on in today's post, with the map...

Federal 2019 – the race in Sydney

There are 29 federal electorates in the greater Sydney region (including the Central Coast and Blue Mountains) - it's the most populous region in Australia. The region contains sixteen Labor seats, twelve Liberal seats and one independent seat. I've identified seven seats that I think are...