By-election coming up in Currumbin

There will be a by-election in a marginal LNP seat in Queensland in the next few months after Liberal National MP Jann Stuckey announced her resignation. Stuckey has held Currumbin since 2004 and won in 2017 by a 3.3% margin. Stuckey announced last week she...

WA redistribution – final boundaries

I managed to overlook a new electoral development amongst a rush of moving house at the end of last year: the final boundaries for the next Western Australian state election were confirmed at the end of November. There is very little in the way of...

Podcast #32 – The Australian Election Study

Ben is joined by the ANU's Jill Sheppard to discuss the Australian Election Study: the process and some of the findings. AES 2019 election report AES trends 1987-2019 Ben's post about the Australian Election Study This is the final episode of 2019. If you want...

Podcast #31 – Introduction to Brisbane City Council

This episode is all about the March 2020 election for Brisbane City Council, the most populous council in Australia. Ben is joined by Alexis Pink from 4ZZZ's Pineapple Rebellion to discuss the context and some of the key wards. The Tally Room guide to...

Guide to Brisbane City Council 2020 – now up

I have just finished my first full seat guide since the federal election, and it covers the Brisbane City Council election, due on March 28. Brisbane City is the largest council in Australia by quite a long way and in some ways more resembles a...

Australian Election Study released

The results of the Australian Election Study was released yesterday morning with a great deal of information about how and why Australians voted at the recent federal election. The AES is a long-standing study which has been conducted on every federal election since 1987,...

Podcast #30 – can our voting system really be “fair”?

Ben is joined by Peter Brent and Stewart Jackson to discuss whether it's ever possible for a single-member voting system to be "fair" in the context of the final defeat of the South Australian fairness clause, and the relative value of survey, polling and...

Podcast #29: Redistribution update

I'm joined by William Bowe from Poll Bludger to run through all of the electoral redistributions which have been conducted while we've all been thinking about other things this year: specifically Western Australia, the ACT, the Northern Territory, Brisbane City Council and the likely...

Podcast #28: Polling after the federal election

This week I'm joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the failure of Australian polls at the 2019 federal election and the limited improvements in transparency by Australian pollsters since that election. Kevin's website Discussion on polling with Katharine Murphy and Peter Lewis on Guardian...

You can’t just legislate ‘fairness’ in our voting system

The South Australian Liberal government failed on Tuesday in its attempt to restore the "fairness clause" which used to apply to SA state redistributions. The clause was an attempt to ensure the "correct" winner in state elections by requiring the redistribution commissioners to draw...