Johnston by-election live
8:24pm - We got a final batch of postal votes and it appears we're done for tonight. Labor's vote has dropped from 51% to just under 30%, while the CLP has dropped from 31.4% to just 16.3%. The Greens have narrowly outpolled the CLP,...
Brisbane City 2020 – candidate update
I published my Brisbane City Council election guide at the end of 2019 and have been focused on other work since then, but I've returned to the topic to do an update of the candidates who are running, which I have published for you...
Bundamba by-election scheduled for March 28
Another election in Queensland has been scheduled for the final weekend in March, with a second state by-election announced for that date.
March 28 is already the election date for council elections across Queensland, including the Brisbane City megacouncil. It was also announced as the...
2019 election – major party domination weakens further
This post draws on analysis in my chapter in Morrison's Miracle, a forthcoming book from ANU Press and Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia about the 2019 federal election.
Most seats in the House of Representatives at the 2019 election were still won by one...
2019 election – winning on the early vote
This post draws on analysis in my chapter in Morrison's Miracle, a forthcoming book from ANU Press and Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia about the 2019 federal election.
One of the most significant ways in which our voting system is changing over time is...
NT redistribution – margins published
The Northern Territory's electoral boundaries for territory elections were redrawn last year, but until now I haven't been in a position to calculate the redistribution margins.
This task is made more complicated by the large number of voters who don't vote at a local polling...
Coming soon: the book of the election
I have a chapter coming up in Morrison's Miracle, which is the definitive book covering every aspect of the 2019 federal election.
My chapter will cover the results in the House of Representatives, as I did in the 2016 election book Double Disillusion.
This book is the seventeenth...
WA redistribution – margins published
It's taken some time as I've waited for some necessary data, but I've now compiled my own margin estimates for the 59 state electorates in Western Australia following the recent redistribution.
I won't lay claim to originality: both William Bowe and Antony Green have previously...
Guide to the Johnston by-election
The first vote of the year will be coming up at the end of February, when voters in the Darwin-area electorate of Johnston will elect a member for the Northern Territory's assembly.
The seat was vacated by Ken Vowles at the end of 2019. Vowles...
NSW 2020: new ward boundaries finalised
Local councils in New South Wales will go to the polls in September this year to elect new councillors for the next four years.
I have just finished putting together my map of ward boundaries for those councils that use wards to elect their members.
49...