2019 election – winning on the early vote

This post draws on analysis in my chapter in Morrison's Miracle, a forthcoming book from ANU Press and Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia about the 2019 federal election. One of the most significant ways in which our voting system is changing over time is...

NT redistribution – margins published

The Northern Territory's electoral boundaries for territory elections were redrawn last year, but until now I haven't been in a position to calculate the redistribution margins. This task is made more complicated by the large number of voters who don't vote at a local polling...

Coming soon: the book of the election

I have a chapter coming up in Morrison's Miracle, which is the definitive book covering every aspect of the 2019 federal election. My chapter will cover the results in the House of Representatives, as I did in the 2016 election book Double Disillusion. This book is the seventeenth...

WA redistribution – margins published

It's taken some time as I've waited for some necessary data, but I've now compiled my own margin estimates for the 59 state electorates in Western Australia following the recent redistribution. I won't lay claim to originality: both William Bowe and Antony Green have previously...

Guide to the Johnston by-election

The first vote of the year will be coming up at the end of February, when voters in the Darwin-area electorate of Johnston will elect a member for the Northern Territory's assembly. The seat was vacated by Ken Vowles at the end of 2019. Vowles...

NSW 2020: new ward boundaries finalised

Local councils in New South Wales will go to the polls in September this year to elect new councillors for the next four years. I have just finished putting together my map of ward boundaries for those councils that use wards to elect their members. 49...

By-election coming up in Currumbin

There will be a by-election in a marginal LNP seat in Queensland in the next few months after Liberal National MP Jann Stuckey announced her resignation. Stuckey has held Currumbin since 2004 and won in 2017 by a 3.3% margin. Stuckey announced last week she...

WA redistribution – final boundaries

I managed to overlook a new electoral development amongst a rush of moving house at the end of last year: the final boundaries for the next Western Australian state election were confirmed at the end of November. There is very little in the way of...

Podcast #32 – The Australian Election Study

Ben is joined by the ANU's Jill Sheppard to discuss the Australian Election Study: the process and some of the findings. AES 2019 election report AES trends 1987-2019 Ben's post about the Australian Election Study This is the final episode of 2019. If you want...

Podcast #31 – Introduction to Brisbane City Council

This episode is all about the March 2020 election for Brisbane City Council, the most populous council in Australia. Ben is joined by Alexis Pink from 4ZZZ's Pineapple Rebellion to discuss the context and some of the key wards. The Tally Room guide to...