Eden-Monaro by-election – election day thread

Polls have just opened in the federal seat of Eden-Monaro in south-eastern New South Wales. I will be back to cover the results tonight, although coverage will be light until after 8pm. I wrote about the trends in early voting at the beginning of the week. The...

The book of the 2019 election – now out

The definitive academic take on the 2019 federal election has been released today by ANU Press. Morrison's Miracle features 36 contributors covering every angle of the election, including the big policy debates, the political parties and the results. This is the latest in a long-standing series -...

Podcast #36: Eden-Monaro preview

Ben is joined by Stewart Jackson from the University of Sydney to preview this weekend's federal by-election in the seat of Eden-Monaro. You can subscribe to this podcast using this RSS feed in your podcast app of choice, but should also be able to find this podcast...

Big jump in postals as Eden-Monaro votes in a pandemic

We've entered the last week of early voting before this Saturday's by-election in the south-east NSW seat of Eden-Monaro. We have quite a bit of data about who is casting an early vote, and it tells us that there has been a big increase...

Turning 16 WA seats into 15

Western Australia is on track to lose the sixteenth seat it gained at the 2016 election. This will trigger a redistribution before the next election, and will have knock-on effects across the state. Only one of Western Australia's 16 electorates has enough voters to still...

Where to put Victoria’s 39th seat?

The latest ABS population figures for December 2019 were released yesterday, and they confirmed what we have suspected for some time. Victoria will gain a 39th seat at the next election, while Western Australia will lose its 16th seat and the Northern Territory (barring...

Mail-only elections for NSW councils – not so fast

There was a story in the Sydney Morning Herald last week about how the NSW state government is considering a switch to postal voting for all voters at the 2021 local council elections. These elections were originally scheduled for September 2020, but were postponed by twelve...

Will the NT lose one of its federal seats?

I have been meaning to write a post about the impending determination and possible solutions to the likely merger of the NT's two federal seats. Antony Green put together a long and interesting piece yesterday explaining how the current formula short-changes the territories, and...

SA redistribution – the starting statistics

South Australia is currently undergoing a redistribution of its state electoral boundaries. The redistribution kicked off late last year, with the first round of submissions closing in April. The Commission has released current population figures as of February 2020, and projected electors as of June...

NSW redistribution stats released

The next redistribution for NSW state electorates has just kicked off, with boundaries due to be redrawn for the 2023 state election. The first stage of the process allows anyone to make submissions suggesting electoral boundaries, either making suggestions about a particular seat or the...