NZ election day with bonus 2017 booth map

Polls have just opened in New Zealand. I did not do a comprehensive guide to the New Zealand election but I have managed to pull together a bit of data at the last minute. This post contains a map of every election day booth used...

NZ 2020 – new electoral boundaries

Earlier this week I made a last-minute decision to do some analysis of the New Zealand election, including the new electoral boundaries. I discovered that no-one appears to have actually calculated the vote shares for the new electoral boundaries drawn since the 2017 election. So...

QLD 2020 – nominations close

Nominations closed yesterday for the Queensland state election. The number of candidates shot up to a record high, with more than six candidates running in the average seat. There are a total of 597 candidates running across the 93 seats. This breaks the previous record...

NZ election – how thresholds could decide the majority

Labour has been doing very well in the polls in New Zealand, if a bit less well than they were earlier this year. It seems very likely that Labour will stay in government. But there are some scenarios where a majority of the country...

ACT 2020 – early voting halfway mark

Today is the halfway point of nineteen straight days of pre-poll voting in the ACT, and early voting is surging in popularity, as predicted. Antony Green has been receiving daily updates on voting numbers from Elections ACT which he has been publishing in this blog...

Queensland candidate update

The candidate list continues to grow as we get closer to the Queensland election. Nominations close at the end of next week, just in time for voting to commence the week after the ACT and New Zealand elections. My list of candidates now includes 426 candidates. It...

Podcast #44: ACT election preview

Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham and Stewart Jackson to preview the upcoming election in the ACT. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support. You can subscribe to this podcast using this...

Mapping the candidate vote in the ACT

In ACT elections, it's not just the total vote for your party that matters. It's also how that vote is distributed between your candidates, particularly if you are one of the major parties. Kevin Bonham coined the term "Ginninderra effect" to refer to what happened...

Groom by-election coming up

Federal MP John McVeigh announced his retirement two weeks ago, triggering a by-election for his seat of Groom. The electorate of Groom covers the city of Toowoomba in southern Queensland, as well as nearby rural areas to the west of the city. I've just finished my...

ACT election – early voting opens

Voting opened today for the ACT election, with election day to be held on October 17. Elections ACT is seriously embracing early voting this year, strongly encouraging voters to cast an early vote to assist with social distancing. (Check out my guide to the ACT election.) This...