The Tally Room

I was wondering recently about voting diversity within an electorate. I'm specifically talking about how much the vote varies from one booth to another across a local electorate's geographic area. You certainly notice variation when looking at booth maps - some seats are very...

I have seen a lot of commentary in the last week about the low polling position of both major parties, and whether that might make it impossible for either side to form a majority government. While it is true that chances of a hung parliament...

Ben is joined by Duncan McDonnell and Marija Taflaga to discuss the closing of nominations. We discuss numbers of women and Aboriginal candidates nominating at the election, and the impact of increasing ballot sizes on the House informal vote. We also discuss the electorate...

Nominations were declared for the federal election yesterday, and we now have the final official lists of candidates. We've seen a record number of candidates running for the House of Representatives, despite the number of parties running candidates falling to the lowest level since 2010....

Ben is joined by Narelle Miragliotta and Stewart Jackson to discuss the rise of the Voices independents movement, and the Victorian seat of Casey. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your...

I've been focused recently on the longer historical trends which play out beyond the individual election cycle, or even beyond a single decade of political history. So much of electoral analysis is focused on the swings between one election and the next, and looking...

In yesterday's post I explained my dataset of election results from 2004-2019 adjusted for 2022 boundaries. In today's post I use that data to explore how seats have changed their political position relative to the rest of the country over this period. Every electorate has...

If you've been reading my federal election guide, you would have noticed a new feature: a chart showing the two-party-preferred vote in that seat over recent decades. It features a dotted green line, which is my estimate of how the modern 2022 electoral boundaries...

With the election campaign now underway, I've done another update of my candidate list, which I posted about in February. You can view the whole list here. This list now includes 878 House candidates, and I will be updating the seat guides with the updated...

Ben is joined by Glenn Kefford from Griffith University and Rob Manwaring from Flinders University to discuss the relationship between Labor and the Greens and how it may play out in this federal election. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon....