Time to talk about PR

There's been a lot of chatter about the low primary vote for the major parties, and Labor in particular polling their lowest primary vote in many decades. There are plenty of excuses to explain why the vote is so low, such as strategic voting for...

Defining and mapping the teal vote

There has been a lot of talk about the "teal vote" at this last election, identifying a movement of independents almost like a party, and trying to gauge levels of support for their agenda. In a sense this is doomed to failure. This group shares...

The Coalition’s potential paths back to power

Since the election, there have been numerous arguments from right-wing Liberal Party figures that the party should give up on winning back the inner city seats they have lost, and instead look elsewhere to rebuild their numbers. Former prime minister Tony Abbott published an op-ed...

Metropolitan Australia in power

This isn't the first time I've discussed the significant shift away from the Coalition in urban Australia, but in today's post I wanted to zoom out a little and look at the historical perspective, and look at how much more polarised Australia has become...

Tasmania moves to expand lower house

The new Tasmanian premier, Jeremy Rockliff, announced on Wednesday that the government will proceed with long-discussed plans to expand the size of the House of Assembly from 25 to 35. This is taking place a quarter century after the Assembly shrunk in size as an...

Changing seat share across key demographics

I had wanted to do some analysis on the demographics of the 2022 election result, specifically looking at how swings correlated with various demographic groups within each electorate. But this is pretty much impossible to do right now, because we don't have a complete...

Mapping the major party swing

On Monday I wrote about the continuing trend of a declining vote for the major parties, which has been a major topic of conversation since Saturday's election. In this post I'm going to look at where the swing has taken place: the swing against each...

What happened with the Chinese-Australian vote in the big cities?

One of the trends I've started hearing about over the last day or two, thanks to the very smart commenters on this blog, is that booth swings in a bunch of suburban seats in Sydney and Melbourne were particularly strong in the areas with...

Major party vote at all time low

Prior to the election I wrote about the long-term downward trend in support for the major parties, and how polling suggested that this trend would continue in 2022. Not only has it continued, but it has accelerated. So I thought I'd show how that vote...

Podcast #75: A remarkable election

Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the results of yesterday's federal election. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support. You can subscribe to this podcast using this RSS feed in your podcast...