How often do MPs in PNG win re-election?

Papua New Guinea's electoral system on the surface looks quite similar to the system we have in Australia, with preferential voting and single-member electorates. But the dynamics of the party system and how voters use the system mean that the voting system works very...

Winning candidate vote shares in Papua New Guinea

In Friday's blog post, I looked at the number of candidates running per seat in Papua New Guinea elections. Specifically how the number of candidates is very high, with over 30 candidates on average running in each seat at this election, and at the...

Ballots are big, but not getting bigger, in PNG

Voting has now commenced in Papua New Guinea's national election, with voitng due to conclude by July 22. Over the next week I'm going to explore some interesting datapoints that can help you understand the PNG electoral system. Papua New Guinea's parliament consists of single...

New map – PNG electoral boundaries

Papua New Guinea goes to the polls next month to elect the national parliament, and for the first time since 1977 there has been a redistribution of electoral boundaries. Seven existing electorates have been split in half to create seven new seats. Another six...

Podcast #77: PNG election preview

Ben is joined by Maholopa Laveil from the University of Papua New Guinea to discuss the upcoming Papua New Guinea national election, with voting scheduled for most of July. We discuss PNG constitutional structures, election procedures, how the parties work and political geography. This podcast...

Understanding 3CP trends

As the minor party and independent vote has increased, we have seen the voting method used for the House of Representatives take on more complex and difficult to predict features. Nearly every MP has been elected without a majority of the vote, and an...

Mapping out a majority early vote

Now that all of the votes have been counted, I wanted to look at the various methods of casting a ballot, which methods have become more popular, and how the two-party-preferred vote varies depending on when someone casts their ballot. For the first time in...

Final 2PP opens up the historical trends

The two-party-preferred count was effectively finalised last night, with the final figures counted from Cooper and Melbourne in inner-city Melbourne. There were 26 electorates where the final two-candidate-preferred count was not between Labor and the Coalition (non-classic), so a separate count was needed to...

Booth map of the day: the ACT

Today I'm looking at booth results across the ACT. I'm starting with a two-candidate-preferred map, but probably the Senate race is more interesting, where independent candidate David Pocock polled over 20% and knocked out Liberal senator Zed Seselja. Starting with the two-candidate-preferred vote, it's worth...

Booth map of the day: the Perth region

This map is the largest booth map I've published, and it shows the two-candidate-preferred results in eleven of WA's fifteen seats, and the swings in ten (there being no valid 2CP swing in Curtin). I'm not sure what exactly I want to focus on with...