Ryde council by-election a failure of policy
There's a by-election taking place today in the West ward of Ryde council in the northern suburbs of Sydney. The by-election was triggered by the resignation of former Labor mayor and newly elected Bennelong MP Jerome Laxale, who quit to focus his efforts on...
First Greens MP retirement in single-member seat announced
Earlier today it was announced that Greens MP Jamie Parker is retiring from his seat of Balmain at next March's state election.
This is an unusual event because the Greens have never had an MP holding a single-member electorate who has retired of their own...
Historical trends added to state election guides
I've recently finished adding a new feature to my seat guides for the Victorian and New South Wales state elections and I wanted to mention it.
During the federal election, I produced charts showing how the two-party-preferred vote in each seat has shifted in each...
Where the independents are running
In yesterday's blog post I analysed the statistics from my latest Victorian election candidate update, but I wanted to pull out one thing to focus on.
There are 32 independent candidates who have been announced so far. That's not a particularly high number (102 ran...
Victoria 2022 – candidate update
I've recently completed an update of my candidate list for the Victorian state election, and I'm now publishing the list for the first time. The list now includes 296 Legislative Assembly candidates and 89 Legislative Council candidates in 61 separate groups across the 8...
Fannie Bay by-election live
Sunday morning final update - So I think we will still get some declaration votes but the scale of the votes is likely to be far too few to change the outcome. 35 formal declaration votes were counted in Fannie Bay in 2020, whereas...
Podcast #78: Bringing down the ecological fallacy
A lot of analysis of the recent federal election used aggregate data and made assumptions about individual voting trends, but now we have some data that can actually answer these questions. Ben is joined in this episode by Shaun Ratcliff from YouGov to discuss...