The Tally Room

One of the most fascinating aspects of the Victorian state election was the role of the small left-wing minor parties. The Greens used to have this lane largely to themselves, but a number of other parties have now emerged, with two of these parties...

In the weeks after the Victorian election, I saw some analysis looking at the geographic patterns of support for some of the parties. One of the things I was most interested in identifying was the relationship between informal voting trends and support for particular...

The informal rate reached a record high at the 2018 Victorian state election. With record-large ballot papers at the 2022 election, I had wondered what might happen to the informal rate last year. While the informal rate was the second-highest on record for the...

The recent Victorian election was the first such election since the COVID-19 pandemic started, and it was yet another example of the trend towards people voting early being accelerated by the pandemic. This was the first Victorian state election where a majority of votes were...

Over the summer break I've added a bunch of new data to my data repository. Specifically I've added results from the 2006, 2010 and 2022 Victorian state elections. Part of the repository is available for the general public, including the most recent election for each...

One way of looking at the Victorian election is to examine which seats ended up being 'non-classic' contests - seats where the two-candidate-preferred count didn't end up being a Labor vs Coalition count. This statistic peaked in 2018, and has gone slightly backwards in 2022,...

For the final episode of 2022, Ben is joined by Narelle Miragliotta and Henry Schlechta to discuss the final results of the Victorian state election. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your...

Prior to the election, I published my own estimates of who would have likely won seats in the Victorian Legislative Council if group voting tickets were abolished and replaced by a system similar to those used for the Senate or for other upper houses...

The Victorian lower house results showed a remarkable disconnect between voting trends and seat results. There was a clear swing against Labor - 5.8% on primary votes, and 2.4% on two-party-preferred votes - yet there was a gain of one seat for Labor. While Labor...

I've been absent for the last week while moving house, but I wanted to come back with a brief post since the Legislative Assembly results have now been finalised. Despite a significant swing against the government on a two-party-preferred and primary vote basis, the government...