NSW wrap-up – the upper house

Most of the media attention tends to focus on the lower house, but voters will be casting two ballots, and the Legislative Council is also very important. There are fifteen groups running for the Legislative Council with a box above the line - they are...

NSW wrap-up – the non-classic regional races

Today I'm looking into the seats of interest in regional New South Wales that aren't just a simple Labor vs Coalition contest. I've identified seven seats involving independents, Greens and a Liberal-National contest.  Let's start with the three seats won by the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers...

NSW wrap-up – the regional classic races

Today I'm going through the Labor-Coalition contests that are of most interest in regional New South Wales. Tomorrow I will be back to look at the other races of interest in regional NSW. I've identified five seats of interest for this post.  First up, Upper Hunter (NAT...

NSW wrap-up – the non-classic Sydney races

In today's blog post I'm going through the races that could prove to be interesting in Sydney but aren't a Labor vs Liberal race. There's a lot more uncertainty with these sort of races, particularly when it comes to the independents. There's a large number...

Podcast #88: NSW election final week

With the NSW state election coming up this weekend, Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the upper house race and what to watch for on election night. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile...

NSW wrap-up – the classic Sydney races

Over the course of this week I'll be running through four categories of seats that seem interesting as we get closer to Saturday. Today, I'm analysing twelve classic Labor vs Liberal seats in the Sydney region. I've identified ten Liberal seats and two Labor seats...

Could we have another state redistribution in NSW soon?

New South Wales legislation sets a schedule for redistributions of Legislative Assembly electorates to be held once every two terms. We have had redistributions before the 1991, 1999, 2007, 2015 and 2023 elections. Yet there is a clause in the constitution that allows for...

How might a hung parliament play out?

There's a lot of talk about hung parliaments, but they're not all the same. A potential hung parliament in New South Wales will play out quite differently depending on the relative balance of the major parties and who sits on that crossbench. In this post...

Another surge of councillors in state parliament?

I've been an unusual number of councillors announcing their candidacy for the state election. It made me wonder, how many are actually running? How many are likely to win? And how does this compare to recent history? I'm using the same methodology I used for...

What is the likely gender balance in the new NSW parliament?

It's a common topic on this blog that I analyse how many men and women are nominated for each party, but it's not really the most important measure. Ultimately candidate nominations are simply a means to an end, which is the final elected parliament...