Result map – Fairfield, Cabramatta and Liverpool

This is the final chapter in my series of booth results posts. As requested, I'm looking at the only three Labor seats were the incumbent MP retired, all in a cluster in south-western Sydney: Fairfield, Cabramatta and Liverpool. There's been a strong trend of MP...

Tasmanian upper house guide now up!

While we haven't quite finished with the 2023 NSW election, I'm now moving on to the next election on the calendar. Tasmania's upper house has a unique electoral system. The 15 members represent 15 separate districts, much like a mainland lower house election, but they...

Result map – Central Coast

Today I'm looking at the four seats of the Central Coast, with particular interest in Terrigal - the only Liberal seat on the Coast, but also a surprisingly close result in 2023 when a large swing almost flipped a seat that had been completely...

NSW Legislative Council count update

While the counting for the lower house is finished (barring a recount in Ryde), counting continues for the NSW Legislative Council, due to conclude with the pressing of the button next Wednesday. There are two different counts for the upper house. The 'initial count' commenced...

Results map – Penrith and north-western Sydney

Today's post covers two maps: one of Penrith, and another of a cluster of seats in north-western Sydney. There are some interesting swing trends on both maps - with the swing to Labor much lower in Winston Hills than in neighbouring seats.  Swing data thanks to...

Results map – northern Sydney independent challenges

Today's map covers five contiguous seats in northern Sydney which ended up as contests between the Liberal Party and independents. Only one of those independents won, but two others came close, and all five technically fall into the "marginal" category. This area stretches from North...

Podcast #92: How did we get to the Voice?

Ben is joined by Eddie Synot to discuss the proposal for a Voice to Parliament - where it came from, the history of constitutional recognition and national representative Indigenous bodies and what it might look like. We discuss the likely democratic structures of a Voice...

Results maps – Balmain, Kiama and Wollondilly

Today's blog post brings together three unusual non-classic races in different areas: the Greens seat of Balmain, ex-Liberal Gareth Ward's seat of Kiama, and the newly independent seat of Wollondilly.  Swing data thanks to William Bowe's estimates of 2019 results by 2023 polling place. The seat...

The case against directly-elected mayors

My local council, the City of Parramatta, is currently undergoing a consultation to seek views about whether the council should switch to directly electing the lord mayor, potentially as a precursor to holding a referendum on changing the system. Directly elected mayors in New South...

Results map – East Hills and the St George area

Today's blog post looks at a string of seats in southern Sydney, including East Hills and the three seats of the St George region. The swings in these seats varied quite a lot - with Labor gaining one of the state's largest swings in Kogarah,...