The case against directly-elected mayors

My local council, the City of Parramatta, is currently undergoing a consultation to seek views about whether the council should switch to directly electing the lord mayor, potentially as a precursor to holding a referendum on changing the system. Directly elected mayors in New South...

Results map – East Hills and the St George area

Today's blog post looks at a string of seats in southern Sydney, including East Hills and the three seats of the St George region. The swings in these seats varied quite a lot - with Labor gaining one of the state's largest swings in Kogarah,...

Results map – Holsworthy, Miranda and Heathcote

Today I'm focusing on three seats in the Sutherland Shire area, overlapping with surrounding areas. The map shows that one seat stands out from its neighbours in terms of swings. The map shows Heathcote, Holsworthy, Miranda and the neighbouring safe Liberal seat of Cronulla.  Swing data...

Results map – south-eastern NSW

For today I've got two maps, one of Goulburn, and the other of three other seats in the south-eastern corner of the state.  Swing data thanks to William Bowe's estimates of 2019 results by 2023 polling place. Goulburn's swing map is fascinating. Labor's support in 2019...

Results map – Leppington and Camden

Today I'm heading to south-western Sydney, with a map showing Leppington, Camden and some surrounding seats. This map shows Leppington and Camden surrounded by Macquarie Fields and Campbelltown to the south-west and Badgerys Creek to the north-east.  Swing data thanks to William Bowe's estimates of 2019...

Results map – Parramatta, Epping and Ryde

Over the next two weeks I'll be picking clusters of seats and posting maps showing the swings in those seats at the recent NSW election, looking for interesting trends. If there's a seat you'd be interested in seeing, please let me know! I have...

NSW 2023 – gender balance in the new parliament

There has been an uptick in the number of women elected to parliament in both chambers at the recent NSW election, which I expected before election day. Now that we know how most of the seats have fallen, we can show how much has...

How would CPV have changed the NSW results?

New South Wales uses optional preferential voting (OPV) for its lower house, unlike every other single-member electorate system for a lower house in Australia, where compulsory preferential voting (CPV) is used. We know that OPV produces lower rates of preference flows, with exhausted votes...

2PP preference flows at the 2023 NSW election

I've started to see a few questions about how preferences flowed at this election. So while we don't have the full picture, I thought I would do what I can to get a sense of how preferences flowed, how that compares to preference flows...

Podcast #91: Aston by-election results

Ben is joined by Peter Brent to discuss the remarkable results of Saturday's Aston by-election. We discuss the context of the by-election, the potential implications and we also briefly touch on the upcoming Voice referendum. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon....