The Tally Room

Earlier today the "button" was pushed in the NSW upper house preference distribution. The full preference distribution was published a short time ago and I wanted to quickly run through how the final rounds of the count went. The Coalition led Animal Justice by 0.069...

The NSW Electoral Commission has now finished counting votes for the Legislative Council count. That means we now have the final primary vote figures, and the "button" will be pushed at 11am tomorrow morning to distribute preferences and determine the result. 16 seats have been...

This is the final chapter in my series of booth results posts. As requested, I'm looking at the only three Labor seats were the incumbent MP retired, all in a cluster in south-western Sydney: Fairfield, Cabramatta and Liverpool. There's been a strong trend of MP...

While we haven't quite finished with the 2023 NSW election, I'm now moving on to the next election on the calendar. Tasmania's upper house has a unique electoral system. The 15 members represent 15 separate districts, much like a mainland lower house election, but they...

Today I'm looking at the four seats of the Central Coast, with particular interest in Terrigal - the only Liberal seat on the Coast, but also a surprisingly close result in 2023 when a large swing almost flipped a seat that had been completely...

While the counting for the lower house is finished (barring a recount in Ryde), counting continues for the NSW Legislative Council, due to conclude with the pressing of the button next Wednesday. There are two different counts for the upper house. The 'initial count' commenced...

Today's post covers two maps: one of Penrith, and another of a cluster of seats in north-western Sydney. There are some interesting swing trends on both maps - with the swing to Labor much lower in Winston Hills than in neighbouring seats.  Swing data thanks to...

Today's map covers five contiguous seats in northern Sydney which ended up as contests between the Liberal Party and independents. Only one of those independents won, but two others came close, and all five technically fall into the "marginal" category. This area stretches from North...

Today's blog post brings together three unusual non-classic races in different areas: the Greens seat of Balmain, ex-Liberal Gareth Ward's seat of Kiama, and the newly independent seat of Wollondilly.  Swing data thanks to William Bowe's estimates of 2019 results by 2023 polling place. The seat...