Double dissolution prospects

There's been a lot of talk about double dissolutions in recent weeks, with the federal Labor government threatening an early election in particular over the Senate's blocking of the Housing Australia Future Fund (HAFF) legislation. I think there's a bit of confusion about the implications...

Federal seat count for next election locked in

The Australian Electoral Commission made it official last week: the House of Representatives will shrink by one seat. New South Wales and Victoria will each lose one seat, while Western Australia will regain one seat. None of this was a surprise. We've known for months...

Rockingham by-election open thread

9:15 - It looks like we've got most of the 2PP count we'll get tonight and the swing is sitting on just over 22%, which is pretty substantial but Labor will still retain the seat easily. 8:04 - We're getting a 2PP count now, but...

Podcast #99: History of STV in the USA

Ben is joined by American political scientist Jack Santucci to discuss the history of the single transferable vote electoral system and its implementation in numerous American cities in the early 20th century. Jack's book More Parties or No Parties explores this period and advances a...

WA redistribution – follow-up analysis

I wrote a quick blog post yesterday after the release of the draft electoral map for the next Western Australian state election. Now I'm back with a more detailed analysis of what has changed. I've included a map comparing the old and new boundaries,...

Draft state electoral boundaries for Western Australia released

The draft electoral boundaries for the next Western Australian state election were released overnight. One regional electorate has been abolished, making room for one new electorate in the outer south-east of Perth. The seats of Moore and North-West Central have been merged into a new...

Enrolment growth forces NT redistribution back to the drawing board

The Northern Territory Electoral Commission published its draft boundaries for the 2024 Legislative Assembly election back in May, but that process will now have to start over due to tremendous enrolment growth in some parts of the Territory in recent months in the lead...

Fadden by-election live

11:31 - I'm finished for the night. We are still waiting for the two-party-preferred figures from Helensvale pre-poll centre and otherwise have all the results we'd expect tonight. The 2PP swing is sitting on 1.7% at the moment. Really quite modest. I probably won't be...

Single-member council wards rolling out in Victoria

Victoria is continuing the process of reviewing its local council wards, and since my last update in May, we have started to see proposed ward boundaries for those councils that are being forced to switch to single-member wards following legislative change in 2020 which...

Podcast #98: By-election season

Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss three upcoming by-elections in Fadden, Rockingham and Warrandyte, and for a brief update on other election news - the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters hearing on expanding the size of parliament, the potential for an...