First part of federal election guide launched
Ben Raue -
15
Australia's next federal election is due to be held by May 2025. There are redistributions underway for three states, but the other 50 electorates will not be redrawn.
This has given me the chance to start work on my federal election guide, the first part...
Podcast #100: Redistributions all around Australia
Ben is joined by ABC chief election analyst Antony Green for the 100th episode of the Tally Room podcast to discuss the many redistributions currently underway around Australia: federal redistributions, state and territory redistributions and even local council ward redistributions.
We discuss the population trends...
Political impact of expanding territorial Senate numbers
As a follow-up to Thursday's blog post, I wanted to look into the question of what would actually happen if the territories were granted a third or fourth Senate seat.
It's easy enough to calculate the primary vote quotas in past elections. It's relatively easy...
Federal redistributions – seat quota update
At the start of this year I put together two blog posts looking at likely trends in how the redistributions might be drawn in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia, looking at how much each seat is above or below the estimated enrolment...
Why should equal Senate representation stop at Tasmania?
There was a lot of discussion yesterday after Senator Don Farrell, the Special Minister of State, indicated the government is still intending to expand the number of senators representing the Northern Territory, and presumably the ACT too.
This is not a surprise. The government has...
Double dissolution prospects
There's been a lot of talk about double dissolutions in recent weeks, with the federal Labor government threatening an early election in particular over the Senate's blocking of the Housing Australia Future Fund (HAFF) legislation.
I think there's a bit of confusion about the implications...
Federal seat count for next election locked in
The Australian Electoral Commission made it official last week: the House of Representatives will shrink by one seat. New South Wales and Victoria will each lose one seat, while Western Australia will regain one seat.
None of this was a surprise. We've known for months...
Rockingham by-election open thread
9:15 - It looks like we've got most of the 2PP count we'll get tonight and the swing is sitting on just over 22%, which is pretty substantial but Labor will still retain the seat easily.
8:04 - We're getting a 2PP count now, but...
Podcast #99: History of STV in the USA
Ben is joined by American political scientist Jack Santucci to discuss the history of the single transferable vote electoral system and its implementation in numerous American cities in the early 20th century.
Jack's book More Parties or No Parties explores this period and advances a...
WA redistribution – follow-up analysis
I wrote a quick blog post yesterday after the release of the draft electoral map for the next Western Australian state election. Now I'm back with a more detailed analysis of what has changed. I've included a map comparing the old and new boundaries,...