US08: Summary of results part 2 – Congress
Ben Raue -
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The Senate
The Democrats have picked up at least six Senate seats:
Virginia
North Carolina
New Hampshire
Colorado
New Mexico
Oregon, which was only declared today after a close count.
Three other races could end up going to the Democrat. In Alaska, despite the polls, convicted felon Ted Stevens was re-elected, 48%...
US08: Summary of results part 1 – the Presidency
Barack Obama has been elected 44th President of the United States. In addition to winning all of those states won by John Kerry in 2004 (Hawaii, the three West Coast states, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Maryland, DC and everything to the northeast, including...
Liveblogging USA
5:22pm - So I'm going home. With the Presidency, it appears that Obama will pick up North Carolina and Indiana, while Missouri will go to McCain. Montana is going down to the wire, with McCain just taking the lead, with a lead of 850...
Just f**king vote already! The US election prediction thread
With twenty-four hours to go until polls close in the first states in the US election, I thought it was a good time to make predictions and look at the state of the race. The Pollster.com national average has Obama leading McCain by 7%...
This Week in Satire: November 3
Two clips today from the Daily Show last week.
NZ update: United Future and key electorate polls
With six days to go before the New Zealand general election, there has been little change in the campaigns. The opinion polls retain the essential elements:
National leads the polls, with the party running close to 50% support.
Labour trailing in the mid-to-high 30s.
Greens the clearly...
Why Pennsylvania?
John McCain's campaign has focused much of its energy on Pennsylvania, despite remaining well short of winning the state in most polls. At first glance, the state appears to be a tough ask, which it is, but McCain's Pennsylvania strategy reflects his overall difficult...
Reflections on MMP
Malcolm Mackerras has written in Thursday's Crikey, critiquing New Zealand's Mixed Member Proportional electoral system (subscription required):
Having studied the referendum results of September 1992 and November 1993, and having studied opinion poll data, it is clear to me that a solid majority of New...
US08 – Vote early, vote often
With six days to go before polls close in the US, levels of early voting are at their highest levels in a US election. As of Tuesday, the Washington Post summarised early voting figures as:
More than twelve million voters have already cast ballots in...
Florida, The Year 2000
Courtesy of FiveThirtyEight.com, this fascinating report outlining what went on in the process of calling the state of Florida for Al Gore, then reversing it to George W Bush, before returning the state to be "too close to call".