My Queensland prediction: part one

I'm now in Brisbane, and to kill time on the plane up I took a map of Queensland and flipped the seats I thought would fall. Of course, predictions are always fraught and I'm sure I'll make plenty of mistakes. I'm gonna run through...

Updated election maps

In spite of appearances on the blog, I'm not actually dead. I've rather been busy working on more advances for my maps for Queensland election night. I've added a feature whereby, when you click on the electorate label, it provides you with the margin, the...

Lowering the voting age?

Former punk rocker and Big Brother pest Aidan McLindon, who is currently the LNP's candidate for Beaudesert, has called for the voting age to be lowered to 17. Most campaigning for lowering the voting age has aimed for the age to be set at...

Queensland Votes: day eighteen

The Greens have announced a preference deal with the Labor Party. The Greens will receive preferences in Indooroopilly for former Labor MP Ronan Lee, while the ALP will receive Greens preferences in fourteen seats: Ashgrove, Aspley, Barron River, Broadwater, Cleveland, Everton, Gaven, Greenslopes, Mansfield,...

Seat in Focus: Burdekin

Burdekin is a North Queensland coastal electorate, lying on the coast starting north of the Whitsundays and following the coast to the southern edge of Townsville. Burdekin is a traditional National Party electorate. The seat was one of 11 won by One Nation in 1998....

Ireland: economic crisis, early election?

If this is your first foray into Irish politics, you might want to start by reading this morning's post. Ireland's most successful politician in half a century, Bertie Ahern, announced his resignation as Fianna Fail leader and Taoiseach on 2 April 2008, and soon after...

Ireland: the odd one out

As the economic crisis worsens and speculation of an early election in Ireland increases, it seemed about time to give Australian psephologists a crash-course in Irish politics. I'll follow this up with another post about the possible early election later today. Ireland is probably the...

ALP preferences in Indooroopilly

Via Public Polity, the Australian is full of speculation about a possible deal that would see the ALP preference Greens MP (and former Labor MP) Ronan Lee in the inner-Brisbane electorate of Indooroopilly. The Greens' public position has been that the ALP will not receive...

Seat in Focus: Chatsworth

Chatsworth is the ALP's most marginal seat in Queensland, lying in the outer eastern suburbs of Brisbane. The seat covers most of the centre of the federal electorate of Bonner. The electorate is split between two wards of Brisbane City Council that clearly lay...

Qld Galaxy poll: 51-49 to LNP

A brief note to say that a new Galaxy poll has come out tonight, giving a 51-49 lead to the Liberal National Party over Labor. It only  works out to be a one-percent swing on both the primary vote and the two-party-preferred figure from...