The Tally Room

Sky News last night reported a local exit poll in Tasmania which predicted nine seats for the ALP, nine seats for the Liberal Party and four for the Greens, with three undecided. This morning the state of play exactly reflects that poll. The ALP...

11:31pm - I'm signing off for the night. I'll come back tomorrow to post wrap-ups of the results in South Australia and Tasmania tomorrow. You can read tonight's commentary, as well as maps showing the result in South Australia, it's available over the fold. 11:00pm...

Voters go to the polls today in Australia's two smallest states. In both states long-standing Labor governments are set to take a hit, although the situation is very different. In South Australia, Mike Rann's ALP is set to lose seats to Liberal leader Isobel Redmond....

The Greens have now preselected candidates for the two seats in Sydney's inner city where the party has performed most strongly in the past. These candidates join other prominent Greens inner-city candidates Adam Bandt, running in Melbourne, and former Democrats leader Andrew Bartlett, running...

Following yesterday's prediction of the results in Saturday's Tasmanian election, I have now put together a prediction of the result in South Australia. I haven't followed South Australia as closely as I have with Tasmania, so I have mostly made the changes based on...

I have previously made predictions of election results for a number of elections, including Queensland in 2009 and elections for the ACT, Canada and the United States in 2008. I thought it was about time to post predictions for this weekend's elections in Tasmania...

Another EMRS poll has been released over the weekend in Tasmania, which reinforces the trend seen in a February poll towards record levels of support for the Tasmanian Greens. While it appears that the full breakdown of results has not been published online (only appearing...

The Tasmanian campaign has kicked into gear today with a poll from pollsters EMRS showing a surge in support for the Tasmanian Greens. The poll has shown statewide results of 39% for the Liberal Party, 31% for the ALP and 27% for the Greens. EMRS...

I haven't really been covering the campaign for the Victorian state electorate of Altona before today's by-election. Altona is a safe Labor seat in the Western suburbs of Melbourne, sitting on Port Philip Bay. Altona is going to the polls to elect a successor to...

I have now posted a guide to the Tasmanian state election, which will be held on March 20, 2010. This includes profiles of Tasmania's five state electorates. Continue reading...