How often do Tasmanian MPs lose their seats?
One of the almost unique features of Tasmania's Hare-Clark electoral system is the potential for voters to choose individual candidates over others in the same party, and on occasion achieve the outcome of an individual MP losing their seat to a fellow member of...
Brisbane City – early voting update
The trend of voters choosing to cast their votes has been progressing for a long time, but there was a major shift in 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic moved a lot more voters away from casting their votes on election day.
The 2020 Queensland council...
The 35-seat Tasmanian status quo
Tasmania's lower house will be expanding in size from 25 to 35 at the upcoming election.
Usually when we analyse election results, a key tool is to compare the results to the last election. Swings, or changes in seat count. But with a big increase...
Unpicking Labor’s multi-party scare
Yesterday I was informed of a website from Tasmanian Labor that has been used in text messages to Tasmanian voters.
I don't normally comment on campaign rhetoric like this, but in this case the website name-drops me a number of times, and selectively quotes from...
Podcast #114: Queensland council elections preview
Ben is joined by Alexis Pink from community radio station 4ZZZ and Andrew Messenger from the Guardian Australia to discuss the upcoming council elections across Queensland and the two state by-elections to be held on the same day.
We discuss the Brisbane City Council campaign...
The two Tasmanias
Tasmanian state elections often play out across a north-south divide, with the two southern electorates playing out differently than the northern remainder of the state.
In this post I thought I would try and map out some of these dynamics over the last 35 years...
How optional preferential voting affects Brisbane City elections
In cases where members are elected to represent single-member wards, or divisions, Queensland councils use the optional preferential voting (OPV) electoral system to elect members. This covers all mayoral elections, as well as council seats in most urban south-east Queensland councils.
Under OPV, voters are...
The decline of the two-party system in Brisbane
Brisbane City's single-member wards lend themselves to two-party competition, but in recent decades we've seen the rise of the Greens, first by just contesting wards that had previously been two-candidate contests, and eventually by winning their first ward and increasing their vote citywide.
This post...
Check out my newsletter for donors
I've been thinking for a while of publishing a regular newsletter which would have a bit of a different style to my usual blog posts, where I can discuss topics I've found interesting recently.
For the last month I've started publishing such a newsletter via...
Dunkley by-election live
11:12 - Alright I think that's it for tonight.
I won't be putting up another blog post analysing these results, but I'm going to be looking into the way the by-election has been spun in my Patreon newsletter on Monday. If you want to read...