The Tally Room

Yesterday's post predicted that the most likely outcome in the WA Senate election is that Liberal candidate Linda Reynolds will widen her lead over the ALP's Louise Pratt, thanks to a large batch of postal votes yet to be counted. I still think this is...

At the time of writing, the result of yesterday's Senate re-run in Western Australia is still up in the air, but is much clearer and easier to understand than the 2013 result. The first two Liberal candidates (David Johnston and Michaelia Cash) and the lead...

10:15pm - I'm going to sign off here for the night. I'll be back with another post tomorrow. As a summary, here are the key points: There has been a large swing against both the ALP and the Liberal Party, with the two major parties...

Polls have just opened in Western Australia for the unprecedented special election for all six WA senate seats that were meant to be filled at least year's Senate election. In the last few days of the campaign, we have seen Newspoll release their quarterly breakdowns,...

Today we saw the conclusion of the count in Tasmania's electorates, with all five electorates now finalised. Results in Franklin and Bass were reasonably decisive, with Labor MPs David O'Byrne and Brian Wightman losing their seats to the Liberal Party. In Lyons, former Labor MP David...

In the lead-up to the state elections in South Australia and Tasmania, I didn't have time to cover another electoral story in the Australian Capital Territory. After many years of debate, and competing proposals, the ACT Legislative Assembly appears set to increase in size,...

South Australia’s election produced a result that has sparked a lot of interest: despite the Liberal Party winning a majority of the two-party-preferred vote (and by even more than in 2010), the Liberal Party has won less seats than the ALP, and we appear...

Each group running in the WA Senate by-election submitted their group voting tickets on Saturday, which will direct preferences for above-the-line votes cast for each group. With the state elections in South Australia and Tasmania, I've only now had time to analyse the preferences...

There are six seats that sit on margins of less than 2% at the current point in the counting, I will run through each of these electorates and summarise the situation. In short, the results suggest that it is not possible in five of these...

At the end of the night, the election result in South Australia is extremely close, and we don't know who will be forming government. At the moment, the ABC has called the result in 46 out of 47 electorates, and these seats break down along...