NSW redistribution – notional vote figures

I've been getting a bunch of questions about the relative strength of parties in the proposed new federal electorates which were released by the AEC yesterday. William Bowe at Poll Bludger released notional two-party-preferred figures yesterday, and my calculations are pretty close to his, but...

NSW redistribution, council amalgamations and SA reform

There's been a lot of electoral news this morning! I'll try to run through it all really quickly. I'll be putting together the new NSW electoral map over the next week and I'll try to find some time to cover the other issues. NSW redistribution The Australian...

WA council elections – new ward map posted

Western Australia is currently undergoing regular council elections. It's taken a while to pull together, but I've now completed an updated ward map for these elections. You can download the 2013 and 2015 ward maps from the maps page. It's quite a difficult task as there's...

NT redistribution – boundaries finalised

The Northern Territory has been undergoing a redistribution for the 25 seats in the Legislative Assembly, and the final boundaries were released last week. Quite substantial changes were made compared to the draft boundaries - it was basically an entirely new map. A number of...

Canning 2015 – results summary

Saturday's by-election in the federal seat of Canning in Western Australia resulted in the Liberal Party's Andrew Hastie to win despite a sizeable swing to the ALP. At time of writing, the swing to the ALP was sitting on 6.65%, with a bunch of...

Canning by-election live

Primary vote results as of 9:33pm - 45/45 booths reporting Candidate Party Votes % Swing Projected Vimal Kumar Sharma Palmer United 2,272 3.06 -3.82 2.35 Connor Whittle Liberal Democratic Party 410 0.55 +0.55 0.55 Michelle Allen Pirate Party 671 0.90 +0.9 0.90 Greg Smith Ausralian Defence Veterans Party 570 0.77 +0.77 0.77 Katrina Love Animal Justice 1,007 1.36 +1.36 1.36 Andrew Hastie Liberal 34,437 46.42 -4.65 47.52 Teresa Van Lieshout Independent 428 0.58 +0.58 0.58 Matt Keogh Labor 26,635 35.90 +9.26 35.87 Vanessa Rauland Greens 4,501 6.07 -1.33 5.81 Jim McCourt Family First 536 0.72 -0.63 0.82 Jamie Van Burgel Australian Christians 2,281 3.07 -0.02 2.62 Angela Smith Stable Population Party 444 0.60 +0.6 0.60 Total formal votes 74,192 Two-party-preferred results as of 9:33pm - 45/45 booths...

Turnbull replacing Abbott – why is this happening?

With Malcolm Turnbull replacing Tony Abbott as Liberal leader and Prime Minister, we have now had three parliamentary terms in a row where the sitting Prime Minister has been rolled by their own party. We've also seen numerous cases of state Premiers being turfed,...

Turnbull challenges for Liberal leadership

Malcolm Turnbull this afternoon resigned as Communications Minister and challenged for the leadership of the Liberal Party. This is an open thread to discuss these events as they unfold over the coming hours and days.

ACT redistribution – ‘Fraser’ renamed ‘Fenner’, loses southern edge

The Australian Electoral Commission yesterday released draft electoral boundaries for the ACT's two federal electorates. At the moment, the ACT is covered by two seats: Canberra and Fraser. The boundary between these two seats follows the Molonglo River and Lake Burley Griffin which divide Canberra...

By-elections triggered in Victoria

Following dual resignations of senior Liberals on August 31, we'll be seeing two Victorian state by-elections in neighbouring rural seats in south-western Victoria later this month. Former Premier Denis Napthine and former minister Terry Mulder both resigned from their seats on August 31, after losing...