The Tally Room

In Lismore, I've changed my estimated preference flows based on fresh information from scrutineers suggesting the Greens are not picking up quite enough Labor preferences to win. Having said that, this is still a projection and the Lismore result is still unclear. In East Hills,...

There's a lot of outstanding questions in the Legislative Council count. We know that the current vote shares will shift, and as they shift, these could have a significant impact on the chances of any party to win a seat. Using estimates of how many...

Since yesterday's update, we've had little new information in Lismore, but more substantial counting has taken place in the key seats of East Hill, Gosford and The Entrance. Labor now holds a slim lead in The Entrance, and the Liberal Party has taken a...

Last night I posted an update on the count in the close counts in Lismore, Gosford and East Hills. In this post, I'll update the count in these three seats, and also cover progress in The Entrance. The Entrance ALP ALP % LIB LIB % Exhausted Counted so far 15,705 50.65% 15,303 49.35% 2,416 Projected 24,104 50.00% 24,107 50.00% 3,651 Labor leads by...

I'll be posting a 'late counting' summary post at the end of each day. At the moment there are five seats which are worth tracking. Three are close races between Labor and Liberal: East Hills in southern Sydney, and Gosford and the Entrance on the central...

I've waited until now to post about the Legislative Council, since the count is likely to take some time, and so many votes have yet to be counted. But at this point I think we can start to analyse what is going on in...

The figures in this spreadsheet are based on figures at midday on Sunday. Numbers may slightly change on late counting. In last night's summary post, I discussed the regional variations in Labor's swings. Labor have swept the Liberal Party out of the Hunter and Central...

On current figures, the next NSW Legislative Assembly looks set to include 37 Liberals, 16 Nationals, 33 Labor, 3 Greens, 2 independents and two seats remain undecided. The two remaining seats to be decided are Gosford, where Labor is leading, and Lismore, which will be decided...

10:34pm - This is the end for this liveblog. I'm going to prepare a short post summarising the seats that have changed hands (and those that were expected to, but didn't), as well as maps showing the new electoral map. 9:59pm - With Labor now...

Polls have just opened across New South Wales for the 2015 state election. I don't have a lot to say, but please use this post as an open thread to discuss the election.