The Tally Room

It appears that there are very few remaining votes to be counted in key seats in the Queensland state election, and it appears likely that the final result will be 44 seats for Labor, 42 for the Liberal National Party, 2 for Katter's Australian...

Counting yesterday saw Labor's position improved in one key seat, and weakened in another. One Nation's Pauline Hanson slightly improved her position in Lockyer. In Whitsunday, the LNP lead narrowed from 163 to 88 and then blew out to 355 votes. In the seats of...

Most of yesterday's attention was focused on the seats of Lockyer and Gaven, where new preference counts have been mostly completed today after the two candidates selected for the election-night two-party count proved to be incorrect in both seats. As of last night, the LNP's Ian...

The final polls of the campaign all told the same story - the LNP leading with 52% of the two-party-preferred vote over Labor. This is certainly not what happened - in the seats where Labor and the LNP came in the top two, Labor...

Rather than editing the original post, I've decided to post each morning covering the counting in key seats over the previous day. Yesterday, I identified Ferny Grove, Glass House, Mansfield, Maryborough, Mount Ommaney, Redlands and Whitsunday as seats worth watching. I've now also added Gaven...

TLDR - Yes, she could, but it's going to be close. On Saturday night, it was a minor story that Pauline Hanson had polled quite highly in the south-east Queensland seat of Lockyer, winning 27.3% of the primary vote, ahead of Labor but 6% behind...

I've identified seven seats that I think are close enough to be worth discussing. Excluding these seven, Labor holds 42 seats, the LNP holds 37, and three are held by KAP and an independent. In order to win a majority, the ALP would need to...

In between today's election posts, I wanted to let you know that I joined the Election Nerds radio show on election night. The show was taped at 2SER in Sydney, and while it is normally broadcast on 2SER, it was broadcast across the Community Radio...

The results of the Queensland election varied substantially between the various regions of Queensland. Labor last won an election in 2009, when they won a small but solid majority of 51 seats. It now appears that Labor has won around 43-46 seats at the 2015...

This is the first in a series of wrap-up posts. I will also devote a post to going in-depth in the undecided seats, as well as a regional breakdown of the vote, and a look at how preferences flowed, over the course of today...