Close seats – Sunday morning update
Ben Raue -
12
I didn't get a chance to do an update yesterday morning as I headed over to Moorebank to observe the NSW Senate count - I'll come back to that topic soon with a post on the Senate race.
Seat summary
I'm calling Gilmore for the Coalition, as I...
Close seats – Friday morning update
We've made some more progress yesterday, and I believe we can narrow this list from nine to seven seats today.
As a reminder, the first four columns of data in this spreadsheet represent the AEC's official data on how many votes are left to be processed...
Below the lines in Tasmania show potential for upset
The Senate data published on election night was very messy.
For a start, it didn't make any effort to distinguish above-the-line and below-the-line votes, instead throwing all votes for each group into one pile.
Secondly, a lot of votes that will turn out to be formal...
Close seats – Thursday morning update
Quite a bit of counting took place yesterday.
Yesterday we narrowed the list of seats to watch from 17 to 12, and today I think we can narrow that list to nine.
Seat summary
I'm ready to call Melbourne Ports for Labor and Grey and Dunkley for...
Close seat update – here’s the model
We saw a small amount of counting yesterday, but we should be able to narrow the list of undecided seats.
When I last posted, I listed 17 seats as in some doubt. This included 13 conventional Labor-Coalition races, plus Grey and Cowper, where we were...
Pauline Hanson and the old Senate system
There's been a lot of arguments coming out suggesting that Pauline Hanson and the rest of her team are only contenders for seats thanks to the Senate voting reforms, and the double dissolution.
Clearly a double dissolution made it easier for all small parties, including...
Looking forward in the close seats
I have a list of sixteen seats which I think are close enough to pay further attention over the next few days as more votes flow in.
In this article I want to explain what data we will be receiving which will help us project...
The day after – quick update
Firstly, apologies for the technical problems last night. I hope that readers were able to follow my commentary as part of the Guardian liveblog. In future if I'm participating in a liveblog somewhere else I'm not going to try and keep my own liveblog...
Federal election live
In addition to updating this liveblog here, you can also follow my commentary on Twitter or at the Guardian liveblog.
9:26pm - Sorry guys, I'm going to cut this short. Follow the Guardian liveblog for my coverage, I haven't got the space to do both. I...
Election eve open thread
Polls open on the east coast in fifteen hours. I thought I might open up a quick post to allow commenters to post general comments about the election.
If you have predictions feel free to post them below.
I have had a number of articles up...