IND 4.7% vs ALP
Incumbent MP
Yingiya Mark Guyula, since 2020. Previously member for Nhulunbuy since 2016.
Geography
Top End. Mulka covers the north-eastern tip of Arnhem Land.
Redistribution
The border between Mulka and Arnhem was changed.
History
The electorate of Nhulunbuy existed from the first NT assembly election in 1974 until it was renamed “Mulka” in 2020. Labor held the seat from 1980 until 2016.
The CLP’s Milton Ballantyne held Nhulunbuy from 1974 to 1980, when he lost to Labor’s Dan Leo.
Leo held Nhulunbuy until 1990, when he was succeeded by Syd Stirling. Stirling became deputy leader of Labor in 1999, and became deputy chief minister in 2001. He stepped down from his leadership roles in 2007 and retired at the 2008 election.
Labor’s Lynne Walker won Nhulunbuy in 2008, and was re-elected in 2012.
Walker was defeated by independent candidate Yingiya Mark Guyula in 2016.
Guyula was re-elected to the renamed seat of Mulka in 2020.
- Allen Fanning (Country Liberal)
- Yingiya Mark Guyula (Independent)
Assessment
Mulka is a marginal seat and could be in play, but Guyula increased his majority in 2020 and may be solidifying his position as an incumbent.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist % |
| Yingiya Mark Guyula | Independent | 2,252 | 55.0 | +13.5 | 54.7 |
| Lynne Walker | Labor | 1,843 | 45.0 | +0.6 | 45.3 |
| Informal | 96 | 2.3 |
Booth breakdown
There were no ordinary polling places in Mulka at the 2020 election.
Almost half of the vote was cast through mobile polling teams, and Guyula overwhelmingly won that vote. Another third was cast at pre-poll, and Labor polled 69% in that category.
| Voter group | IND % | Total votes | % of votes |
| Mobile team Mulka 1 | 64.9 | 1,371 | 34.4 |
| Pre-poll | 30.7 | 1,362 | 34.1 |
| Other votes | 65.7 | 727 | 18.2 |
| Mobile team Mulka 2 | 75.7 | 528 | 13.2 |
Polling places surrounding Mulka at the 2020 NT election
Don’t see Yingiya Guyula losing here, we’re now less than 2 months out and still no major party candidates.
@Oguh I emailed the CLP about this. I’ll see if they replied.
Still nothing.
Story in the paper today says ALP are not running out of respect of the sitting MLA. CLP say they will run – probably just to get the additional spend on their cap (you get to spend an extra 45,000 for every seat you run in according to the newspaper). They won’t win – so it will all be a waste of money unless another candidate shows up.
No Labor candidate means Guyula retains comfortably
@Oguh that’s not news. We all knew he’d win. He’s a popular MP, even the ex-President of the local Labor branch in Nhulunbuy backed him in 2020.
@Top End Todd I think what they mean is they’re trying to get his support to potentially form government if the result ends up being a hung parliament.