ALP 10.5%
Incumbent MP
Kate Worden, since 2016.
Geography
Northern suburbs of Darwin. Sanderson covers the suburbs of Marrara, Wagaman and Walagi in northern Darwin.
Redistribution
Sanderson expanded to take in Darwin Airport, but this barely made any difference to the population of the electorate, and made no change to the margin.
History
The electorate of Sanderson was created in 1974 for the first Northern Territory assembly election. The seat has alternated back and forth between Labor and the Country Liberal Party.
Liz Andrew first won Sanderson for the CLP in 1974. Andrew served in the Education portfolio in the first NT Assembly (not strictly as a minister as the NT had not yet gained self-government).
Andrew was replaced by Labor’s June D’Rozario in 1977. She held Sanderson for Labor for two terms, until 1983, when she lost to Country Liberal candidate Daryl Manzie.
Manzie served five terms as Member for Sanderson, retiring in 2001.
Labor’s Len Kiely won Sanderson in 2001 in the absence of an incumbent MP. Kiely held Sanderson for two terms, serving as a minister from 2007 until he lost his seat at the 2008 election to CLP candidate Peter Styles.
Styles held Sanderson for two terms, serving as a minister in the CLP government for the last few years. He served as Deputy Chief Minister from February 2016 until that year’s election.
Styles lost Sanderson to Labor candidate Kate Worden at the 2016 election, thanks to a swing of over 13%.
Candidates
- Derek Mayger (Country Liberal)
- Amelia Nuku (Territory Alliance)
- Kate Worden (Labor)
Assessment
Sanderson has tended to swing back and forth between Labor and the CLP. It seems likely that Labor will hold this seat but it can be unpredictable.
2016 result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Kate Worden | Labor | 2,323 | 52.3 | +9.3 |
Peter Styles | Country Liberal | 1,573 | 35.4 | -15.5 |
Andrew John Arthur | Independent | 331 | 7.4 | +7.4 |
Trudi Andersson | 1 Territory | 135 | 3.0 | +3.0 |
Thomas Lynch | Independent | 81 | 1.8 | +1.8 |
Informal | 63 | 1.4 |
2016 two-candidate-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Kate Worden | Labor | 2,578 | 60.5 | +13.6 |
Peter Styles | Country Liberal | 1,680 | 39.5 | -13.6 |
Booth breakdown
There are two booths in Sanderson: Anula and Wagaman.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote at every booth, ranging from 59.7% in Anula to 66.3% in Wagaman, with the pre-poll vote somewhere in between.
Voter group | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
Anula | 59.7 | 1,550 | 34.9 |
Pre-poll | 61.2 | 1,516 | 34.1 |
Other votes | 57.0 | 826 | 18.6 |
Wagaman | 66.3 | 551 | 12.4 |
Amelia Nuku of the Territory Alliance is running a good campaign from what I can see on social media.
The Labor MP seems fairly popular here and should’ve built up a considerable following to hold on here, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the TA pulled off a surprise victory.