ALP 9.2%
Incumbent MP
Natasha Fyles, since 2012.
Geography
Northern Darwin. Nightcliff covers the suburbs of Nightcliff and Kulaluk.
Redistribution
No change.
History
The electorate of Nightcliff has existed since the first NT assembly election in 1974. Labor has held Nightcliff since 2001.
Nightcliff was first won by independent Dawn Lawrie, who held the seat until 1983.
The CLP’s Stephen Hatton won Nightcliff in 1983. Hatton served as chief minister from 1986 to 1988, and held Nightcliff until 2001.
Hatton retired in 2001, and Nightcliff was won by Labor’s Jan Aagaard. Aagaard held Nightcliff for three terms. She served as a minister from 2001 to 2003, and as Speaker from 2005 until 2012, when she retired.
Labor’s Natasha Fyles won Nightcliff in 2012.
Candidates
- Matt Haubrick (Greens)
- Natasha Fyles (Labor)
- Ted Dunstan (Country Liberal)
Assessment
Labor should have no trouble retaining Nightcliff.
2012 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Natasha Fyles | Labor | 1,389 | 35.7 | -7.3 |
| Kim Loveday | Country Liberal | 1,260 | 32.4 | -0.9 |
| Stuart Blanch | Independent | 722 | 18.5 | +18.5 |
| Owen Gale | Greens | 263 | 6.8 | -17.0 |
| Peter Rudge | Independent | 170 | 4.4 | +4.4 |
| Felicity Wardle | Sex Party | 74 | 1.9 | +1.9 |
| Andrew Arthur | Independent | 16 | 0.4 | +0.4 |
| Informal | 131 | 3.3 |
2012 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Natasha Fyles | Labor | 2,301 | 59.1 | -1.5 |
| Kim Loveday | Country Liberal | 1,592 | 40.9 | +1.5 |
Booth breakdown
There is only one booth in Nightcliff, with the same name as the electorate.
Labor polled 60% of the two-party-preferred vote at the Nightcliff booth, polling 58.5% of the pre-poll vote and 55% of other votes.
Independent candidate Stuart Blanch polled almost 20% of the vote at the Nightcliff booth, compared to about 15% in pre-poll and other votes.
| Voter group | IND % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| Nightcliff | 19.8 | 60.0 | 2,888 | 74.2 |
| Pre-poll | 15.2 | 58.5 | 395 | 10.1 |
| Other votes | 14.6 | 55.2 | 610 | 15.7 |
The Greens should do well here. Stuart Blanch seems to have eaten most of their vote last time, so with him not running they’ll be back to around 20%. They got 19% federally at the Nightcliff booth.
Does CLP preference Labor over Greens? I’m assuming they do, but in other states and federally Liberals have preferenced Greens above Labor before Greens started actually winning seats.
The Greens seem to be focusing on Namitjira but with no other third party candidates running and a huge swing against CLP expected they might be able to do something interesting here.
Labor shouldn’t have much trouble retaining here, although with the swing against the CLP and the absence of Blanch, the race for second could be rather interesting.