The Gap – Brisbane 2020

Council margin – LNP 4.5%
Mayoral margin – LNP 7.1%

Incumbent councillor
Steve Toomey, since 2015.

Geography
North-western Brisbane. The Gap covers the suburbs of Ashgrove, Keperra, Ferny Grove and the Gap.

Redistribution
The Gap contracted on its southern edge, losing territory to Paddington and Pullenvale, specifically losing the remainder of Bardon to Paddington. The Gap gained Keperra from Enoggera. These changes cut the LNP margin from 5.7% to 4.5%.

History

The Liberal Party’s Geraldine Knapp was first elected to represent the Gap in 1997. She was re-elected in 2000, and in 2004 with a 17% margin. She was re-elected with an increased 18.7% margin in 2008 despite an unfavourable redistribution, and again in 2012 with a 21.5% margin.

Knapp resigned in May 2015, and was replaced shortly after by the LNP’s Steven Toomey as a casual vacancy. No by-election was needed due to the impending 2016 election.

Toomey was re-elected in 2016 despite a massive 16% swing to Labor.

Candidates

Assessment
The Gap is a marginal ward and Labor would be hoping to make a gain here. There was a big swing against the LNP in 2016 following the retirement of their long-sitting councillor, so Toomey will be hoping his new personal vote will help him regain some of that swing.

2016 council result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Steve Toomey Liberal National 12,903 50.6 -12.0 49.6
Shane Bevis Labor 8,670 34.0 +13.7 35.3
Reece Walters Greens 3,920 15.4 -1.0 15.2
Informal 521 2.0

2016 council two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Steve Toomey Liberal National 13,356 55.7 -15.8 54.5
Shane Bevis Labor 10,639 44.3 +15.8 45.5
Exhausted 1,498 5.9

2016 mayoral result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 13,673 53.4 -10.1 52.0
Rod Harding Labor 8,290 32.4 +12.8 33.6
Ben Pennings Greens 2,923 11.4 -3.8 11.3
Jeffrey Hodges Independent 347 1.4 +1.4 1.6
Karel Boele People Decide 166 0.7 +0.7 0.7
Jim Eldridge Independent 117 0.5 +0.5 0.5
Jarrod Wirth Independent 89 0.4 +0.4 0.4
Informal 494 1.9

2016 mayoral two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 14,094 58.4 -13.8 57.1
Rod Harding Labor 10,023 41.6 +13.8 42.9
Exhausted 1,488 5.8

Booth breakdown

Booths in The Gap have been divided into three parts: central, east and north.

The LNP won a majority in all three but did significantly better in the east, with 58% of the two-party-preferred vote, compared to 51-53% in the other two areas.

The Greens also did a lot better in the east, with 18% compared to 12.6% in the north.

Voter group GRN council prim LNP council 2PP LNP mayoral 2PP Total votes % of votes
Central 15.2 52.6 56.2 7,124 27.3
North 12.6 51.5 54.4 6,169 23.6
East 18.4 58.3 58.7 4,732 18.1
Other votes 17.0 57.4 60.2 5,070 19.4
Pre-poll 12.1 54.4 57.3 3,030 11.6

Election results in The Gap at the 2016 Brisbane City Council election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes for council and lord mayor, and Greens primary votes for council.

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