Council margin – ALP 2.9%
Mayoral margin – LNP 1.9%
Incumbent councillor
Jared Cassidy, since 2015.
Geography
Northern Brisbane. Deagon covers the suburbs of Brighton, Deagon, Boondall, Geebung, Sandgate, Shorncliffe and Taigum. These suburbs lie close to Moreton Bay at the northern end of the city.
Redistribution
Deagon expanded to the south, taking in Geebung from Marchant. This change reduced the Labor margin from 3.8% to 2.9%.
History
Labor’s Victoria Newton won Deagon in the year 2000, polling 56% of the primary vote. She was re-elected in 2004 with an 11% margin. She won further terms in 2008 (7.9% margin) and 2012 (5.4% margin).
Newton resigned from council in August 2015 and her seat was filled by Jared Cassidy.
Cassidy survived a small swing against Labor to win a full term in 2016.
Candidates
- Anthony Walsh (Greens)
- Jared Cassidy (Labor)
- Kathy Moloney (Motorists Party)
- Kimberley Washington (Liberal National)
Assessment
Deagon is a very marginal ward, and could well be vulnerable for Labor, but it seems more likely that Labor will hold on considering that recent election results looked like a high water mark for the LNP.
2016 council result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Jared Cassidy | Labor | 10,504 | 43.8 | -4.4 | 43.2 |
| Kerry Millard | Liberal National | 10,095 | 42.1 | +0.9 | 42.9 |
| Anthony Walsh | Greens | 3,359 | 14.0 | +6.5 | 13.9 |
| Informal | 673 | 2.7 |
2016 council two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Jared Cassidy | Labor | 12,092 | 53.8 | -1.6 | 52.9 |
| Kerry Millard | Liberal National | 10,406 | 46.3 | +1.6 | 47.1 |
| Exhausted | 1,460 | 6.1 |
2016 mayoral result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Graham Quirk | Liberal National | 10,924 | 45.6 | -7.7 | 46.4 |
| Rod Harding | Labor | 9,601 | 40.1 | +4.9 | 39.4 |
| Ben Pennings | Greens | 2,247 | 9.4 | +0.6 | 9.4 |
| Jeffrey Hodges | Independent | 585 | 2.4 | +2.4 | 2.3 |
| Jarrod Wirth | Independent | 219 | 0.9 | +0.9 | 0.8 |
| Karel Boele | People Decide | 212 | 0.9 | +0.9 | 0.9 |
| Jim Eldridge | Independent | 157 | 0.7 | +0.7 | 0.6 |
| Informal | 702 | 2.9 |
2016 mayoral two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Graham Quirk | Liberal National | 11,323 | 51.1 | -7.9 | 51.9 |
| Rod Harding | Labor | 10,848 | 48.9 | +7.9 | 48.1 |
| Exhausted | 1,774 | 7.4 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Deagon have been divided into three parts: central, north and south.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote for the council in all three areas, ranging from 52% in the south to almost 60% in the north. Labor also won 52.6% of the pre-poll vote. The LNP did win 52.4% of the other votes (including postal votes).
For the lord mayoral vote, the LNP won a large majority of the other votes (57%) and a smaller majority of the pre-poll vote (52%), but only won a majority in one of the three geographic areas, with 52% in the south. Labor won a slim majority in the centre and a larger majority in the north.
The Greens primary vote for council ranged from 13% in the south to 18% in the centre.
| Voter group | GRN council prim | ALP council 2PP | LNP mayoral 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| South | 12.8 | 52.1 | 51.9 | 8,505 | 32.8 |
| Central | 17.9 | 55.8 | 49.6 | 4,030 | 15.5 |
| North | 15.7 | 59.7 | 45.7 | 3,780 | 14.6 |
| Other votes | 13.2 | 47.6 | 57.1 | 5,585 | 21.5 |
| Pre-poll | 11.5 | 52.6 | 52.2 | 4,025 | 15.5 |
Election results in Deagon at the 2016 Brisbane City Council election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes for council and lord mayor, and Greens primary votes for council.
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Took a Trip into Sandgate yesterday and LNP have put up in excess of twice number of Corflutes as ALP. .
This is surprising since sitting members have access to constituents who can put up Corflutes. Even minor Party’s with virtually no campaign funds can afford a few hundred Corflutes.
LNP Gain, the Labor councillor is arrogant and thinks he can’t lose. He treats the community with contempt.
I can not see LNP picking up Deagon without the whole of Brisbane having a Landslide I appreciate that Sameise is in effect agreeing with my comment about poor campaigning in Deagon but poor campaigning has less effect on wedged on voters than swinging voters. Deagon with a few exceptional spots on waterfront and in hills in West Sandgate is welded on Labor territory. Housing Commission houses mostly privately owned with large numbers of elderly working class voters centred around what in effect is a country town does not lead to swinging voting. ALP are very active in polling normally so as soon as a danger exists they will detect it. If campaigning tactics improves Samwise may be right.
On other side of Bridge Moreton Bay Regional Council is turning into the dirtiest election campaign that I have experienced. Abuse, threats, damaged Corflute, lack of physical campaigning, just Facebook abuse.
All candidates for Mayor and most Councillor candidates are personality driven campaigns. Issues are subservient to personality.
A Moreton Bay election Facebook site similar to Tallyroom has come under attack from one Mayoral Candidate leading to coordinator dropping out of job. So far there are three Mayoral candidates who deserve last spot on my ballot paper. No political parties involved overtly although both Majors and PHON involved behind scenes. Never say that political party politics is dirty independent political campaigning is filthy.
I agree with Samwise. LNP is very visible here – Labor has not responded (relying on Facebook) & people can change, would not be surprised if Cassidy loses (but would not be surprised if he wins).
Political parties including those that I support just do not ge message CANDIDATE FACEBOOK PAGES ARE ONLY READ BY THOSE WHO HAVE ALREADY DECIDED WHO TO VOTE FOR. THey May be useful as a campaign organisational tool but they are not a substitute for campaigning. If a candidate does not have boots on ground they can not make up for it with Facebook.
I think it is true that candidate Facebook pages are only intentionally visited by partisans, but there’s always sharing and sponsored posts that must have at least some penetration to undecided voters. Considering how cheap it is every campaign can sees it as worthwhile to have it.
I do agree that face to face campaigning is required though, the more the better.
In Moreton Bay RC apart from a few Corflutes and a bit on local community aRadio StAtion campaisaigning Facebook centric. I think Kathy McGowan’s victory over Sophie Mirabella in Indi has had a huge impact on campaigning. Even Roadside stalls a rarity and when You approach them they have nothing to hand out.