Jamboree – Brisbane 2016

Council margin – LNP 21.0%
Mayoral margin – LNP 23.7%

Incumbent councillor
Matthew Bourke, since 2008.

Geography
South-western Brisbane. Jamboree covers suburbs along the southern shore of the Brisbane River from Seventeen Mile Rocks to the council boundary, including Jindalee, Mount Ommaney, Westlake, Riverhills and Sinnamon Park.

Map of Jamboree's 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Jamboree’s 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Jamboree shifted south, gaining Darra, Ellen Grove and Wacol from Richlands, and losing Corinda to Tennyson. These changes cut the LNP council margin from 26.8% to 21%, and cut the LNP mayoral margin from 27.6% to 23.3%.

History
Jamboree was held by Labor councillor Felicity Farmer by the year 2000, although it’s unclear how long she held the ward prior to that point.

Farmer was re-elected in 2004 with a 6.6% margin. In 2008, she lost Jamboree to Liberal candidate Matthew Bourke with a 7.8% swing. Bourke was left with a slim 1.5% margin.

In 2012, Bourke retained his marginal ward with a massive 25.3% swing after preferences. He currently serves as Chairman of the Environment, Parks and Sustainability Committee.

Candidates

Assessment
Jamboree has a recent history as a marginal ward, and if the 2012 swing was reversed the ALP would win the ward. But a 21% margin is still very difficult to imagine being overturned, particularly as it seems that Labor is not running a high-profile campaign.

2012 council result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Matthew Bourke Liberal National 14,584 72.7 +23.2 67.7
Fran Bell Labor 3,982 19.8 -25.8 26.0
Jos Hall Greens 1,507 7.5 +2.5 6.3
Informal 387 1.9

2012 council two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Matthew Bourke Liberal National 14,757 76.8 +25.3 71.0
Fran Bell Labor 4,458 23.2 -25.3 29.0
Exhausted 1,784

2012 mayoral result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 14,504 72.3 +6.0 68.4
Ray Smith Labor 3,746 18.7 -7.9 22.3
Andrew Bartlett Greens 1,508 7.5 +2.6 7.4
Rory Killen Independent 185 0.9 +0.9 1.2
Chris Carson Independent 121 0.6 +0.6 0.7
Informal 409 2.0

2012 mayoral two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 14,701 77.6 +7.0 73.7
Ray Smith Labor 4,243 22.4 -7.0 26.3
Exhausted 1,120
Polling places in Jamboree at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Central in green, North in blue, South in orange. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Jamboree at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Central in green, North in blue, South in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Jamboree have been divided into three parts: central, north and south.

The LNP won around 77-78% of the two-party-preferred vote in the north and centre for both the council and mayoral elections. These two areas make up most of the council population.

The two southern booths were previously in the Labor ward of Richlands, and in that area Labor won 67.8% of the council 2PP and 54.2% of the mayoral 2PP.

Voter group LNP council 2PP LNP mayoral 2PP Total votes % of votes
North 77.5 77.9 7,467 33.8
Central 77.5 77.7 7,171 32.5
South 32.2 45.8 2,396 10.8
Other votes 69.7 74.7 5,051 22.9
Two-party-preferred votes for mayor in Jamboree at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Two-party-preferred votes for mayor in Jamboree at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Two-party-preferred votes for councillor in Jamboree at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Two-party-preferred votes for councillor in Jamboree at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.

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