Deagon – Brisbane 2016

Council margin – ALP 4.9%
Mayoral margin – LNP 8.9%

Incumbent councillor
Jared Cassidy, since 2015.

Geography
Northern Brisbane. Deagon covers the suburbs of Brighton, Deagon, Boondall, Sandgate, Shorncliffe and Taigum. These suburbs lie close to Moreton Bay at the northern end of the city.

Map of Deagon's 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Deagon’s 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Deagon underwent minor changes, keeping all of its existing territory and gaining a small area from Bracken Ridge. These changes cut the ALP’s council margin from 5.4% to 4.9%, and increased the LNP’s mayoral margin from 8.4% to 8.9%.

History
Labor’s Victoria Newton won Deagon in the year 2000, polling 56% of the primary vote. She was re-elected in 2004 with an 11% margin. She won further terms in 2008 (7.9% margin) and 2012 (5.4% margin).

Newton resigned from council in August 2015 and her seat was filled by Jared Cassidy.

Candidates

Assessment
When Labor was in a strong position on Brisbane City Council, Deagon was considered to be a safe ward. Labor should be able to hold on to the ward in 2016.

2012 council result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Victoria Newton Labor 10,325 48.9 -2.8 48.2
Gordana Blazevic Liberal National 8,563 40.5 +2.5 41.3
Georgia Farrell Greens 1,575 7.5 -0.1 7.5
John Harbison Independent 657 3.1 +1.4 3.0
Informal 494 2.3

2012 council two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Victoria Newton Labor 10,939 55.4 -2.5 54.9
Gordana Blazevic Liberal National 8,809 44.6 +2.5 45.1
Exhausted 1,809

2012 mayoral result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 11,170 53.0 +0.8 53.3
Ray Smith Labor 7,463 35.4 -3.5 35.2
Andrew Bartlett Greens 1,851 8.8 +2.9 8.8
Rory Killen Independent 351 1.7 +1.7 1.6
Chris Carson Independent 228 1.1 +1.1 1.1
Informal 536 2.5

2012 mayoral two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 11,391 58.4 +1.7 58.9
Ray Smith Labor 8,103 41.6 -1.7 41.1
Exhausted 1,569
Polling places in Deagon at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Central in green, North in blue, South in orange. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Deagon at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Central in green, North in blue, South in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Deagon have been split into three parts: central, north and south.

The Labor council vote was just under 58% in the centre and north, and 54% in the south.

Voter group ALP council 2PP LNP mayoral 2PP Total votes % of votes
South 53.8 59.2 7,842 35.9
Central 57.9 58.9 4,242 19.4
North 57.8 56.5 3,526 16.1
Other votes 52.5 59.9 6,244 28.6
Two-party-preferred votes for councillor in Deagon at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Two-party-preferred votes for councillor in Deagon at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Two-party-preferred votes for mayor in Deagon at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Two-party-preferred votes for mayor in Deagon at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.

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