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Even though the redistribution helped Labor, they could be in trouble here. If not this time, the election after it may be won by the Libs for a single term.
Would probably be good for Shortland to go marginal; I can’t think of any spoils it’s ever gotten from the Labor Party in government.
This will probably flip in 2028. Labor should hold this year due to the marginand the fact the swing won’t be that large but if Labor remain govt in minority along with cost of living crisis expected to continue and the offshore wind issue should be enough to topple conroy here.