Senate – South Australia – Australia 2025

Anyone know when SA Greens senate preselection results will come through? Not predicting anything interesting though keeping an eye on it as Sarah Hanson-Young reportedly only won preselection last time by 53%-47%.

What’s the chance SA labor could gain a third seat?

Labor winning a third seat? That’s a possibility. In Vic and SA, Labor is holding up somewhat whilst its support has dropped elsewhere, according to polling.

The SA Liberal senate ticket is led by Alex Antic and religious conservatives have a huge stake in the SA Liberals. They’re not moderate at all.

Xenophon is hardly the force he once was. One Nation is in decline. I reckon the biggest threats to the big three parties will either be Legalise Cannabis or teal or regionalist independents who could split votes and send preferences in various directions.

@Votante I think it is likely that Labor could nab a third seat in the senate even though it’s rarely happened (if at all). The Liberals usually takes the 6th seat with ON and Palmer preferences but given that they’re on the nose in the state overall thanks to the right wing of the party demanding and commanding control, plus as you mentioned the general strength of Labor in SA compared to the other states, it’s very possible against the usual tides around the rest of the country that usually elects 3 Coalition, 2 Labor and 1 Green (or one minor party at the expense of the Coalition’s 3rd seat)

Rex Patrick has joined Jackie Lambie Network

BREAKING: Simon Birmingham to quit politics

It’s a shame he’s not just resigning from the Senate, he would be valuable in the House of Representatives especially in Adelaide where the Liberals need to regain seats they lost.

In 2004, the Liberals held four seats in Metropolitan Adelaide plus Mayo and Wakefield on the outskirts (which also include towns that aren’t part of Adelaide, note that Wakefield doesn’t exist anymore). Labor held only three (note that while they gained Adelaide from the Liberals in 2004 they lost Kingston). Nowadays, Labor holds six seats in Adelaide, while the Liberals hold just one (Sturt). The Centre Alliance holds the seat of Mayo which includes some suburbs on the outskirts of Adelaide plus the Adelaide Hills.

As Simon is a moderate, however, fellow SA Liberal Senator Alex Antic will be pleased to see that he is gone as Antic is one of the most right-wing politicians from the Coalition in the country.

Alex Antic reminds me a lot of a Ron De Santis type with a real “war on woke” focus.

The high profile moderates in the Liberal Party have really dropped like flies since 2018. Unlike Labor where left & right factions have dibs on certain seats or senate positions maintain a balance of power, the Liberals’ more open rank & file membership having more influence on preselections – while democratically it seems like a better system – has definitely gutted the party of its moderate wing in recent years.

Just think back to 2016-17, it was that team of Turnbull, Julie Bishop, Pyne and Birmingham that were the face of the party. How it’s changed since.

It will be interesting to see whether a moderate or a hardliner ends up running in what would have been Birmingham’s spot on the ticket.

@Trent a moderate should run instead of Antic too. He should join One Nation instead.

Neither Portal
There’ll be a pre-selection process, & hence the opportunity to choose the candidate of your choice.

@ Nether Portal
I hear you. However, there will be others including on tallyroom who say people like Alex Antic are the Liberal’s future and that Simon Birmingham is just “Labor Lite”. They argue that if Libs ignore wedge issues such as trans issues, abortion etc then working class voters will just vote with their economic interest. It is the same with the Moira Deeming issue where some people believe she is an Asset and can convert religious CALD voters in Greenvale and St Albans to Libs.

@np Alex antic is immensely popular. And has just got the numver 1 spot. So when is birmingham quitting? Hes not due for reelectuon until 2028 as he was just reelected in 2022. He will likely be replaced by another moderate as that’s how it usually goes.

@Phil I’m in Queensland, so I can’t vote in preselection for the Senate in South Australia.

@Nimalan that point is moot anyway especially in Adelaide. While ethnic people were overrepresented in the lockdown protests most obeyed the rules. And the groups who were overrepresented in those protests were groups who are mostly concentrated in Sydney and Melbourne. Adelaide has a large (East) Asian community (so do most major cities though) but that’s about it.

@Darth Vader Antic is not “immensely popular” at all.

Adding on to the point about ethnic groups and demographics in the lockdown protests, Adelaide just doesn’t have them like Sydney and Melbourne do. Similarly, the main CALD communities on the Gold Coast (where I live) and Chinese and Japanese people and they are often affluent (distinguish actual residents or migrants from tourists though since Japanese people love to visit the Gold Coast for holidays too), so the anti-lockdown message didn’t resonate well with the Gold Coast, even in CALD communities.

@ NP
I am not endorsing Alex Antic or lockdown protests. If you listen to Sky after Dark they will say Libs should forget about Boothby and Sturt and maybe Alex Antic can help Libs win Spence by focusing on culture wars.

If the future of the libs are the culture wars based upon sky after dark. They are in big trouble. This means they have given up serious politics. I hope not

@ np how do you think he got the number 1 senate spot? Obviously the lib branch voters in sa think so. The libs also have spots assigned for moderates and conservatives and given Birmingham is a moderate the moderates will likely claim his spot.

@Nimalan I know I’m stating why the point some make is moot.

@Mick Quinlivan it’s not, at least on the state and territory level in most of Australia.

@John he is not “immensely popular”. He’s first on the ticket, sure, but he’s not popular let alone immensely popular (immense would be used to describe very popular figures with broad appeal like Gladys Berejiklian and Mark McGowan). Michael Danby was unpopular in Melbourne Ports but he still won preselection.

@np yes but in the libs branches he obviously is the senate is a lot different as people vote mostly by party then by the individual member

@Trent DeSantis is at least a fairly serious person and his policies outside of “fuck woke” are pretty good. Besides, he runs the 3rd most powerful state in the country.

On the other hand, Antic is just a clown.

@Darth Vader, Birmingham said he’ll leave at the next election. His replacement will be decided by an SA Liberal preselection process.

@scart desantis has half a shot at being thext president too

Lyle Shelton has labelled Simon Birmingham an enemy within and a fifth column and criticized him for his support for Abortion and SSM. Lyle Shelton also criticized Peter Dutton for stopping a debate on Abortion within the Liberal party room.

Leah Blyth has been chosen as Briminghams replacement shes a conservative as opposed to Birmingham who was of the moderate faction