Oxley – Australia 2025

Given the death of Bill Hayden today, I would think this seat is a possibility to be renamed at the next redistribution. Or the name Hayden could be applied to a new QLD seat in the future.

Agree possibly to a new seat in future could be named Hayden but as not a PM not likely to automatically be renamed.

It could be renamed as he was GG, There is a few seats named after GG’s such as Hasluck and Isaacs. Rankin could also be a candidate to rename the seat to Hayden.

If we are renaming Queensland divisions after GGs, I suggest renaming Maranoa to Gundsynd.

Very clever Watson.

I doubt Rankin would get renamed as it was named after Dame Annabelle Rankin, and there is a vast minority of seats named for women. In Queensland, only five of the current seats (Rankin, Moncrieff, Longman, Fairfax and Wright) are named for women. Four seats are named for geographical features (Capricornia, Wide Bay, Maranoa and McPherson).

Oxley, whilst being the name of a Federation seat, was abolished in 1934 and recreated in 1949.

NQ View,
I thought Herbert and Dawson were named after rivers and McPherson was named after the mountain range on the NSW/Qld border.

Watson,
You’d think so, but not quite. Herbert was named after the first premier of Queensland, Robert Herbert, and not the river near Ingham that was within its boundaries when it was first established. Dawson was named after the first Labor premier of Queensland, Anderson Dawson, who held the job for a week and later became Christian Watson’s defence minister. As best I can tell, the Dawson River has never been within the Dawson electorate.

Although, looking at Wikipedia, it seems the Herbert River too was named for Robert Herbert. So there you go. The division of Herbert was named for the premier though, not the river.

@ NP
to assist you to calculate Oxley
State seats
1. All of Inala
2. Parts of Mount Omananey, Algester, Budamba and Jordan
Booths suburbs
1. Augustine Heights
2. Bellbird Park
3. Camira
4. Carole Park
5. Collingwood Park
6. Darra
7. Durrack
8. Forest Lake
9. Gailes
10. Goodna
11. Inala
12. Jamboree Heights
13. Jindalee
13. Middle Park
14. Mount Omananey
15. Oxley
16. Pallara
17. Redbank
18. Redbank Plains
19. Richlands
20. Serviceton South (Inala)
21. Seventeen Miles Rocks
22. Springfield
23. Springfield Lakes

@Nimalan thanks, I’ll look at that tomorrow.

State level TPP here (2024):

* Labor: 62.5%
* LNP: 37.3%

Labor did just 0.9% better on the state level in 2024 than on the federal level in 2022 here, which is significantly less than seats in Moreton Bay but closer to the difference in the Redlands area (Bowman). Why Labor didn’t overperform here is probably because of crime. This is seat has the highest crime rate in Queensland and contains most of the suburbs regarded as being among the most dangerous in Queensland (the others are in Forde and Rankin).

@NP
This seat also includes the wealthy Centenary suburbs so maybe that is the reason they did not significantly over perform it is possible that in the wealthy suburbs in Mount Omaneny Crisfaulli did better than Scomo in 2022.

@Nimalan I get your thinking, but looking at the booth results, Labor did better on the state level this time than on the federal level in most of Mount Ommaney (albeit not by that much), but in Inala they did worse.

Essentially Labor did better in the state level in places like Jindalee but worse in places like Forest Lake and Inala. However, they still did better in the Mount Ommaney suburbs than in those in Inala.

Interestingly on the council level the LNP do WAY better. In 2024 they got up to 70% TPP in Mount Ommaney booths like Middle Park and Seventeen Mile Rocks despite them normally voting Labor.

Urban seats:

* Calculated so far: Bonner, Bowman, Brisbane, Longman, Oxley, Rankin, Ryan
* To calculate: Blair, Dickson, Fadden, Fairfax, Fisher, Forde, Griffith, Herbert, Lilley, McPherson, Moncrieff, Moreton

@ NP
Which seat would you like me to get ready for you next 🙂

@Nether Portal council LNP did better than State LNP in Mount Ommaney because Labor almost ran dead in Jamboree Ward (they didn’t even have people on some booths on election day), plus the fact that the council LNP are more moderate and more appealing in Brisbane than the state LNP.

@Nimalan maybe Blair or Forde.

@AA true but the gap is huge. Sarah Hutton must be a popular councillor in Jamboree Ward.

i think Blair is the most interesting followed by Dickson and then Griffith.

@ np

I will do Blair tonight

@Nimalan thanks.

@Nether Portal:
Labor never did anything in Council, even going back to the Clem Jones administration, sewering Brisbane had commenced under Lord Mayor Groom in the 1950s.
The Atkinson administration set out beautifying brisbane, Newman, Quirk Schrinner followed her lead, the city had been transformed.
That’s why Labor areas vote LNP for BCC.
If they folowed the State voting pattern, LNP would have about 3 councillors, not 20 odd.

According to The Poll Bludger, this seat contains:

* 9% of Algester
* 50% of Bundamba
* 100% of Inala
* 63% of Jordan
* 76% of Mount Ommaney