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I’m not a local here but the neighbouring seats Labor appears to be serious trouble. Labor hold with a swing against them.
@Spacefish the other parts of Newcastle are different demographically to the seat of Newcastle itself. The seat of Newcastle itself is a mix of progressive, working-class and affluent/small-l-liberal suburbs. Hunter, Paterson and Shortland are white working-class seats (though Paterson and Shortland have some middle-class areas).