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@real talk not really. if the possible floods and cyclone damage are happening peoples concerns arent gonna be around federal policies its gonna be whos helping them there and now at least thats what i would think
Far too simplistic. You’re assuming voters switch their allegiances literally as the wind blows.
For your assertion to be correct, the opposite must be true too.
Would the voters of Moreton punish the LNP if the state government mismanaged the cyclone?
I doubt it.
probably. they are punishing federal labor for state labor down in vic and will probably pnish state labor in wa for federal labor
Moreton is low lying, much of Rocklea and Willawomg disappeared in the 2011 floods, Chelmer, Graceville, Sherwood, Yeerongpilly, Tennyson also copped it.
I’d expect the LNP have been releasing water from Wivenhoe and Somerset for a while in time with the tides in the river.
Conversely, the cyclone may also help the Greens hold on. Significant floods contributed to the result in 2022. Furthermore, it could be the tipping point in Richmond.