ALP 9.1%
Incumbent MP
Graham Perrett, since 2007.
Geography
Southern Brisbane. Moreton covers suburbs on the southern side of the Brisbane River to the south of the centre of Brisbane, including Sunnybank, Runcorn, Eight Mile Plains, Acacia Ridge, Coopers Plains, Rocklea, Salisbury, Moorooka, Oxley, Corinda, Graceville and Fairfield.
History
Moreton is an original federation electorate. For most of its history it has been held by the Liberal Party and its predecessors, who held the seat from 1906 until 1990, but the seat was a bellwether seat from 1990 until 2013, when Labor retained the seat despite losing government.
Moreton was won in 1901 by independent labour candidate James Wilkinson, a former member of the colonial Legislative Assembly. Wilkinson was re-elected as an independent in 1903, and rejoined the ALP in 1904.
Wilkinson lost Moreton in 1906 to Anti-Socialist candidate Hugh Sinclair. Sinclair held the seat for over a decade, representing the Commonwealth Liberal Party and the Nationalist Party until his retirement in 1919.
Sinclair was succeeded in Moreton by former state MP Arnold Wienholt, also a Nationalist. Wienholt only held the seat for one term, retiring in 1922.
The seat was won in 1922 by Nationalist candidate Joseph Francis. Francis held the seat for over three decades. He served as a minister in the first term of the Lyons government from 1932 to 1934, and again served as a minister from the election of the Menzies government in 1949 until his retirement in 1955.
Moreton was won in 1955 by Liberal candidate James Killen. Killen was on the right wing of the Liberal Party, and held the seat for the next 29 years. At the 1961 election the Menzies government barely held on, and Killen’s seat of Moreton was the closest result. Indeed, Killen only held on due to Communist Party preferences leaking away from the Labor candidate. Killen served as a minister in the Gorton government from 1969 until 1971 but was dropped by William McMahon when he became Prime Minister.
Killen served as Minister for Defence in the Fraser government from 1975 until 1982, when a reshuffle saw him moved into a more junior role for the final year of the Fraser government. He retired in 1983 after the defeat of the Fraser government, triggering a by-election.
The ensuing by-election was won by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron. Cameron had previously held the seat of Griffith from 1966 to 1977, and then the seat of Fadden until the 1983 election, when he was defeated. He returned to Parliament as Member for Moreton and held it until the 1990 election, when he was defeated by Labor candidate Garrie Gibson, ending 84 years of Moreton being held by conservative parties.
Gibson held the seat until the 1996 election, when he lost to Liberal candidate Gary Hardgrave. Hardgrave served as a junior minister from 2001 until January 2007, when he was removed from the ministry in a reshuffle. Hardgrave lost the 2007 election to Labor candidate Graham Perrett.
Perrett has been re-elected five times.
Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Graham Perrett is not running for re-election.
- Natarsha Billing (People First)
- Julie-Ann Campbell (Labor)
- Max Hooper (Citizens Party)
- Christian Julius (Trumpet of Patriots)
- Melinda Keller (Family First)
- Remah Naji (Greens)
- Henry Swindon (Liberal National)
Assessment
Moreton is a reasonably safe Labor seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Graham Perrett | Labor | 34,633 | 37.4 | +2.3 |
| Steven Huang | Liberal National | 30,777 | 33.3 | -7.6 |
| Claire Garton | Greens | 19,250 | 20.8 | +4.0 |
| Neil Swann | One Nation | 3,364 | 3.6 | +0.3 |
| Chelsea Follett | United Australia | 3,064 | 3.3 | +1.1 |
| Peter Power | Federation Party | 1,468 | 1.6 | +1.6 |
| Informal | 2,625 | 2.8 | -0.2 |
2022 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Graham Perrett | Labor | 54,690 | 59.1 | +7.2 |
| Steven Huang | Liberal National | 37,866 | 40.9 | -7.2 |
Booths have been divided into three areas: north-east, south and west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 56.5% in the west to 67.7% in the north-east.
The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 15.8% in the south to 31% in the north-east.
| Voter group | GRN prim | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| South | 15.8 | 59.5 | 18,693 | 20.2 |
| North-East | 31.0 | 67.7 | 14,505 | 15.7 |
| West | 23.8 | 56.5 | 7,710 | 8.3 |
| Pre-poll | 20.1 | 57.3 | 26,379 | 28.5 |
| Other votes | 18.4 | 56.5 | 25,269 | 27.3 |
Election results in Moreton at the 2022 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and the Greens.
@real talk not really. if the possible floods and cyclone damage are happening peoples concerns arent gonna be around federal policies its gonna be whos helping them there and now at least thats what i would think
Far too simplistic. You’re assuming voters switch their allegiances literally as the wind blows.
For your assertion to be correct, the opposite must be true too.
Would the voters of Moreton punish the LNP if the state government mismanaged the cyclone?
I doubt it.
probably. they are punishing federal labor for state labor down in vic and will probably pnish state labor in wa for federal labor
Moreton is low lying, much of Rocklea and Willawomg disappeared in the 2011 floods, Chelmer, Graceville, Sherwood, Yeerongpilly, Tennyson also copped it.
I’d expect the LNP have been releasing water from Wivenhoe and Somerset for a while in time with the tides in the river.
Conversely, the cyclone may also help the Greens hold on. Significant floods contributed to the result in 2022. Furthermore, it could be the tipping point in Richmond.
@gympie i heard the engineers in charge of the dams have to make that call. and they havent done so as yet.
It’s too late to make the call now, it’s predicted to land around midnight. One thing I find curious is the prediction of making landfall between Double Island Point and Coolangatta. That’s a 500 km spread, stops at the border.
Don’t want to step on NSW toes?
seems everything that happens is a negative for Labor – Israel/Gaza, interest rates dropping and now a cyclone
Can’t fight nature.
@bazza March 6, 2025 at 11:35 am
That’s politics. Running executive government is hard, who knew?
Labor made a mistake not making Albo Oppo leader in 2013, he was the rank and file choice, woulda had Abbott and Turnbull on toast, imo.
Now, he’s just burnt out, old, and hasn’t got the troops to do the work anyway.
@Bazza How is interest rates falling a negative for Labor?
One way Nick G is it remids everyone of the 12 rate rises.
Imagine if you were dying of thirst and all you were given was a couple of drops of water.
@john and @Darth know how to spin it
If the Coalition were in power, old Darth would be applauding the falling interest rates as evidence of prudent economic management, the emergence of a new economic sunrise after a short, cold period of nightfall.
Oh to be so offended to the point that everything was triggering and reminded one of Labor; I swear some people on this site would be upset by the alphabet, as it contains the letters one would use to spell Labor, Albo, Chalmers etc. Numbers too! Labor released a budget which contained numbers! The colour red! Triggering! Ahhhh!
@real talk i dont think anyones suggested its anything but a good thing they falling but its too little, too late. after 13 interest rate rises (12 on labors watch) 1 cut isnt gonna help. though tbh i dont have any sympathy for people who borrowed the maximum amount of money they could when they were at record lows with the assumption they would never go up and then cried poor when they increased. you should never borrow more then you can afford if they were to rise. if you cant afford to pay your mortgage then unfortunately you cant have one. there are people out there who dont have the fortunate position of being able to borroww money to get a home.