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Hi Ben,
For some reason when you click on Nicholls it directs you to Mitchell thread for some reason.
@spacefish
Has Alex Hawke changed seats?
It was a bug on the map, should be fixed now.
I don’t understand this seat at all. It is surrounded by Labor territory on the west and to some extent the south. It has the safe somewhat-regional Liberal seat of Berowra to the east, but somehow here is safer than Berowra despite being more suburban and more Labor surrounded. What goes on here that I’m not aware of?
@Nick G a few points:
1. The Labor territory around it on the state level is all key marginal seats that were Liberal-held from 2011 until 2023. Federally these areas fall into Greenway and Parramatta.
2. Berowra is by no means regional. It is a Sydney seat. It includes places like Hornsby and Cherrybrook.
And to explain the area: this is one of the most ethnic Liberal seats in Australia. Lots of Chinese and Indian people live here. Furthermore, though, it is an upper-middle class seat and one of the richest seats in Sydney. Places like Castle Hill are old money while places like Kellyville and Bella Vista have growing housing estates. Lots of businesses are in Castle Hill. Mitchell and the Hills in general also has some semi-rural areas bordering the Hawkesbury which are very Liberal-voting.
Hope this helps.
Even after a 10% swing.this seat has a 10% liberal. Margin. The hills is not the preserve of Labor.
Hawke’s danger is being rolled in a preselection by his own side
@Nether Portal ok, that makes slightly more sense, thanks
Nick G, to add to what Nether Portal wrote, this also has a reputation as being a very religious area. For example, it’s where the Hillsong Church is headquartered.
This seat had NSW’s largest election-day booth at Jasper Road Primary School in Baulkham Hills, with 3110 votes cast, which is the largest in the country.