Melbourne – Australia 2025

GRN 6.9 vs ALP

Incumbent MP
Adam Bandt, since 2010.

Geography
Central Melbourne. Melbourne covers the Melbourne CBD, as well as the inner city suburbs of North Melbourne, Parkville, Carlton, Docklands, Abbotsford, Fitzroy, Ascot Vale, Richmond and East Melbourne. The seat covers a majority of the City of Melbourne and City of Yarra and a small part of the City of Stonnington.

Redistribution
Melbourne shifted south, picking up South Yarra and part of Prahran south of the Yarra from Higgins and Macnamara, and losing Clifton Hill to Cooper, and Carlton North, Fitzroy North and Princes Hill to Wills. These changes cut the Greens margin from 10.2% to 6.9%.

History
Melbourne is an original Federation seat, and was held by the ALP for over one hundred years before it was won by the Greens in 2010.

The seat was first won by Malcolm McEacharn, the former Mayor of Melbourne, who joined the Protectionist Party. Although McEacharn had defeated his Labor opponent William Maloney with over 60% of the vote in 1901, the 1903 election saw McEacharn only defeat Maloney by 77 votes, and the result was declared void after allegations that the result was tainted.

Maloney defeated McEacharn at the following by-election in 1904, and the ALP held Melbourne for the next century. Maloney polled over 60% at the 1906 election, and never polled less than 60% as he held the seat right through to 1940. Indeed, Maloney was elected unopposed at two elections. Maloney retired in 1940 but died before the 1940 election. He never held a frontbench role, and holds the record for the longest term of service without serving as a frontbencher.

The seat was won in 1940 by Arthur Calwell. Calwell held the seat for thirty-two years. He served as Minister for Immigration in Ben Chifley’s government from 1945 to 1949. He served as HV Evatt’s Deputy Leader from 1951 until 1960, when he became Leader of the Opposition.

Calwell led the ALP into three federal elections. The ALP was defeated by a slim margin at the 1961 election, but suffered a larger defeat in 1963 and a solid Liberal landslide in 1966. Calwell was replaced as Leader by Gough Whitlam in 1967 and Calwell retired in 1972. At no time did the seat of Melbourne come under any serious danger of being lost.

The seat was won in 1972 by Ted Innes, who held the seat until 1983.

He was succeeded by Gerry Hand, who served as a federal minister from 1987 until his retirement at the 1993 election.

The seat was won in 1993 by Lindsay Tanner. Tanner became a frontbencher following the defeat of the Labor government in 1996, and served on the Labor frontbench right until the election of the Rudd government, and served as Finance Minister in the first term of the Labor government.

The seat of Melbourne had been considered a safe Labor seat for over a century, but at the 2007 election the Greens overtook the Liberals on preferences and came second, and the two-candidate-preferred vote saw the ALP’s margin cut to 4.7%.

In 2010, Tanner retired, and his seat was won by the Greens’ Adam Bandt, who had first run for the seat in 2007.

Bandt was elected with the benefit of preferences from the Liberal Party, but in 2013 managed to win a second term despite the Liberal Party preferencing Labor. Despite losing these preferences, Bandt’s margin was only cut by 0.6%, and his primary vote jumped 7%. Bandt has since been re-elected in 2016, 2019 and 2022.

Bandt was elected leader of the Australian Greens in early 2020.

Candidates

  • Melanie Casey (One Nation)
  • Sarah Witty (Labor)
  • Tim Smith (Independent)
  • Anthony Koutoufides (Independent)
  • Adam Bandt (Greens)
  • Helen Huang (Fusion)
  • Steph Hunt (Liberal)
  • Assessment
    The margin in Melbourne was significantly cut by the redistribution, but the Greens vote south of the Yarra was produced without the strong position of Adam Bandt personally – I expect he would pick up more support in that area, and retain his seat easily.

    2022 result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Adam Bandt Greens 47,883 49.6 +1.6 44.7
    Keir Paterson Labor 24,155 25.0 +3.9 25.7
    James Damches Liberal 14,660 15.2 -6.0 19.5
    Colleen Bolger Victorian Socialists 3,156 3.3 +3.0 2.6
    Richard Peppard Liberal Democrats 1,596 1.7 +1.7 1.9
    Justin Borg United Australia 1,709 1.8 +0.6 1.9
    Bruce Poon Animal Justice 1,316 1.4 -0.7 1.4
    Scott Robson Independent 1,094 1.1 +1.1 0.9
    Walter Stragan One Nation 937 1.0 +1.0 0.8
    Others 0.4
    Informal 2,993 3.0 0.0

    2022 two-candidate-preferred result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Adam Bandt Greens 58,050 60.2 56.9
    Keir Paterson Labor 38,456 39.8 43.1

    2022 two-party-preferred result

    Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
    Keir Paterson Labor 75,191 77.9 +10.1 73.1
    James Damches Liberal 21,315 22.1 -10.1 26.9

    Booth breakdown

    Booths have been divided into four areas. Fitzroy, Carlton and Abbotsford are grouped as North-East. East Melbourne and Richmond are grouped as East. Booths close to the Melbourne CBD are grouped as West. Those south of the Yarra are grouped as South-East.

    The Greens topped the primary vote in all four areas, with a vote ranging from 34% in the south-east to 57.2% in the north-east.

    The ALP came second, with a primary ranging from 23.2% in the north-east to 27.9% in the south-east. The Liberal Party came third, with a primary ranging from 9% in the north-east to 29.6% in the south-east.

    Voter group GRN prim ALP prim LIB prim Total votes % of votes
    East 44.7 24.5 20.9 10,324 10.9
    North-East 57.2 23.2 9.0 10,033 10.6
    West 51.5 24.2 12.2 9,984 10.5
    South-East 34.0 27.9 29.6 6,258 6.6
    Pre-poll 44.0 26.4 19.8 35,904 37.8
    Other votes 40.3 26.2 23.6 22,470 23.7

    Election results in Melbourne at the 2022 federal election
    Toggle between two-candidate-preferred votes (Greens vs Labor and Labor vs Liberal), two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Greens, Labor and the Liberal Party.

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    61 COMMENTS

    1. The Greens vote didn’t crash in 2022. It got shaved down due to the redistribution last year.

      I don’t expect an upset loss here.

    2. He was talking about the 12 points they lost in the 2cp in 2022. That was due to the result being vs laborinstead of vs liberal in 2019 I’d expect bandt to lose some primary due to the redistribution probably around 45% though I’d say the seat will become marginal. Green retain. I think that this could be a great v koutifedes count.

    3. What we saw yesterday in Melbourne at the Dawn Service was disgusting. Anzac Day is not a day to protest, it is a day to respect and honour the servicemen and women who fought for this country.

      Keep in mind the neo-Nazi hecklers would’ve rather supported Nazi Germany over Australia in the war, so how dare they claim to “speak for White Australians”.

      Hopefully the AEC rejects any future requests for a Nazi Party to be registered for elections.

    4. @ Nether Portal
      I 100% Agree with you. The made a digustic antisemtic protest at the steps of Victorian parliament. These people are the scum of the world. I refer to neo-nazis are dung beetles as they feed on shit as well.

    5. @Darth Vader April 26, 2025 at 11:11 am
      Regardless of any opinions on Welcome to Country, booing at ANZAC dawn service and disrespecting those who died for our country is extremely scummy

    6. I agree that it’s not the time for this sort of thing, but also I think ANZAC day has been made a propaganda tool for the military, unthinkingly glorifying all wars as sacrifices made so we could have freedom. My great great great uncle was at Gallipoli, and while the deaths of our soldiers are tragic, they didn’t die “defending our country”. They died in imperialist power games. The only lesson you can take away from a war in which 600,000 men would die to gain 5 miles of ground is that war is an evil thing, that should be avoided at all costs.

    7. Today there was violence in the CBD on the issue of Trans rights. The Trans rights protests also carriered Palestinian flags and shoiyted free Plalestine

    8. @Clarinet of Communists agree – Anzac Day should be an anti-imperialism day considering it commemorates a bunch of Australian’s being slaughtered at the whims of the Empire

    9. @Clarinet of Communists:
      Imperial Germany wanted to expand in the early 20th century, among it’s possessions were New Guinea and [German] Samoa. Holland poseessed West Papua and Indonesia, but was officially neutral in WW1.
      If Australia had sat it out, Papua was gone and Germany controlled the Torres Straits. Holland may have entered the War on Germany’s side and blockaded Australia.
      So, Australia has a dog in the fight. Whether Australian troops were used well, that’s different question, one that Canada also asked regarding it’s contribution in Europe.

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