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Despite Rob Mitchell being the member here sense 2010 the margin here isn’t that big however, he has had a near death experience in 2013 although he went into the with a 9% buffer and came out with less 1%. This might be a big call to make but given the small margin and the high part of this electorate having mortgage but, I would say Labor hold only because he’s been tough situations like this before.
@SpaceFish if the Liberals gain any seat from Labor in Victoria it’ll be this.
@Nether Portal
I agree, this electorate and Aston however, I’m not prepared to write Rob Mitchell yet as if you remember the polling here is 2013 had him behind a couple of points, I’m pretty the Liberals threw a lot at it and even Abbott visited a couple of times.
It is a very mixed seat as i discussed with John and Darth Vader a few days ago some parts are mortgage belt. Others are tree change/tealish areas so the mood will be quite different in different parts of the seat.
i think this will be a liberal gain.