Mallee – Australia 2025

NAT 19.0%

Incumbent MP
Anne Webster, since 2019.

Geography
North-western Victoria. Mallee covers a large area in the corner of Victoria, bordering New South Wales and South Australia. Mallee covers Central Goldfields, Gannawarra, Buloke, Hindmarsh, Horsham, Loddon, Mildura, Northern Grampians, Swan Hill, West Wimmera and Yarriambiack council areas, and parts of the Pyrenees council area. Mallee includes the centres of Mildura, Ouyen, Swan Hill, St Arnaud, Warracknabeal and Horsham.

Redistribution
No change.

History
Mallee was created at the redistribution before the 1949 election as part of the expansion of the House of Representatives. It has always been held by the Country Party and its successor National Party.

The seat was won in 1949 by the Country Party’s Winton Turnbull. Turnbull had stood for office for the Country Party before the Second World War, but was captured in the fall of Singapore and was a prisoner of war for over three years. Turnbull won Wimmera in 1946, and moved to the new seat of Mallee in 1949.

Turnbull held Mallee for the next two decades, and retired at the 1972 election.

Mallee was won in 1972 by Peter Fisher, who held Mallee for another two decades, until he retired in 1993.

Mallee was won in 1993 by John Forrest, also of the National Party. Forrest held the seat for the next twenty years, retiring in 2013.

Nationals candidate Andrew Broad won Mallee in 2013, and was re-elected in 2016.

Broad retired in 2019, and Nationals candidate Anne Webster won the seat. Webster was re-elected in 2022.

Candidates

Assessment
Mallee is a very safe Nationals seat.

2022 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Anne Webster Nationals 50,187 49.1 +22.7
Carole Hart Labor 17,133 16.8 +0.2
Sophie Baldwin Independent 10,256 10.0 +10.0
Stuart King United Australia 9,271 9.1 +5.6
Vanessa Atkinson One Nation 6,901 6.8 +6.8
Sam McColl Greens 5,463 5.3 +1.7
Claudia Haenel Independent 2,196 2.1 +2.2
Chris Lahy Citizens Party 822 0.8 +0.4
Informal 6,113 5.6 -5.2

2022 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Anne Webster Nationals 70,523 69.0 +3.3
Carole Hart Labor 31,706 31.0 -3.3

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into five areas. Booths in Buloke, Hindmarsh and Yarriambiack council areas, as well as those in the southern parts of the Mildura council area, have been grouped as “Central”. Those in Gannawarra and Swan Hill have been grouped as “North-East”. Those in Horsham, Northern Grampians and West Wimmera have been grouped as “South-West”. Those booths in Central Goldfields, Loddon and Pyrenees have been grouped as “South-East”. The booths in the main urban centre of Mildura, as well as some nearby booths close to the Murray River, have been grouped as “Mildura”.

The Nationals won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all five areas, ranging from 61.6% in the south-east to 75.8% in the north-east.

The combined vote for the two independents ranged from 8.6% in the south-east to 18.7% in the north-east.

Voter group IND prim NAT 2PP Total votes % of votes
Mildura 12.7 67.5 11,355 11.1
South-West 12.5 65.6 11,125 10.9
Central 11.1 74.3 9,402 9.2
North-East 18.7 75.8 9,211 9.0
South-East 8.6 61.6 7,405 7.2
Pre-poll 11.6 69.7 40,540 39.7
Other votes 11.6 66.6 13,191 12.9

Election results in Mallee at the 2022 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Nationals, Labor, independent candidate Sophie Baldwin and the United Australia Party.

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10 COMMENTS

  1. I can remember a time when there were 2 Federal seats in the area Mallee and Wimmera

    The next redistribution will be interesting as both mallee and Wannon will have to expand and as Mallee has had the same boundaroes for the past 2 redistributions this could cause some interesting movemnts but the easiest way I see Mallee moving is picking up (in 7 years time about 10,000 electors from Nicholls) as Mallee’s current actual enrollmetns are not keeping pace witht eh the projected enrollments

  2. @ Darth Vader

    If Vic gain an extra seat, based on current enrollments voer the past 14 month Mallee would be 2,000 votes under the new average.

    If this is the csae It would prably need to pick up around 5,000 voters in a future redistirbuion to allow for the next 7 years after the redistribtion

  3. Captain Mooonlight
    Elder respects to you.
    If Victorians are allocated an additional seat after the next twelve-month point ‘entitlement’ muster, then, that will cock the hammer on a redistribution. Then the figures for early 2026 will then be determinative; < nineteen months hence, not ‘seven years from July 2024.’ (under trigger type c)

    Now that Wannon has encompassed Anglsea and adjacent surfcoast, it will beat its targets at successive allocations, which opens the possibility of Mallee expanding in a southerly direction in the far future. The location of the new seat next time around will determine the variable borders of large NW rural seats.

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