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Safe ALP. Tony is the definition of a local MP. He will retire in 2028 as his inability to obtain a Ministry unlike his other 07 SA ALP class will define him.
Labor retain. If the Liberals couldn’t gain this in the 2013 landslide there’s no way they’ll get this in 2025 despite what Dutton says.
Tony Zappia is very popular around here and he’s got a broad coalition of voters. Not just the rusted on Labor voters, but also progressive voters (he’s from Labor left) and he’s also got a decent voting base coming from the right. I know a few people in Church who usually would vote conservative but said they’ll vote Labor because of Zappia. It’s his until he retires.
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