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Interesting as this seat use to be key to whoever wanted to get into office, I believe that this is the first time along with the electorate of Banks where its not with Labor when they’re in office. Labor seem to be struggling with demographics like this and could be at risk with more seats like this with similar demographics in the future if they don’t reach out.
It was a bellwether up until 2016. Yes, you’re right that this is the first Labor government without it.
This used to be very associated with Howard Battlers – working-class people and mortgage holders who had swung to the Liberals. I agree that Labor is struggling with its old blue-collar worker base with the ongoing political realignment. Outer suburban electorates with fewer uni-educated, white-collar professionals are not voting for Labor as strongly as they used to.