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Labor hold, with Greens primary vote increasing but still staying in third place.
Curious to see, this isn’t a super-talked about seat, Labor has held it since inception but I’m curious to see what anyone thinks will happen here?
Labor should retain thanks to the socially-liberal vote around Ivanhoe and Eltham. But I think the Liberals will get a swing.
The ABC mortgage/household/rental stress map showed this seat presenting highly for all 3 interestingly enough
Vic Socialists could do well here
The incredibly strong Labor booths in West Heidelberg, Heidelberg and Heidelberg Heights with big areas of public housing have always been the bedrock of the Labor vote. I have never been sure why the Libs have not been able to do better around Eltham and Montmorency. They are quite comfortable and leafy. It was for the Libs a bit like Melbourne Ports / Macnamara or Isaacs – they could get close but never close enough – stuck at 45%. In the last few elections, I don’t think they have even tried – resources had to go into Kooyong and Higgins instead.
Agree that the Vic Socialists could do well in the western parts of the electorate but not elsewhere.
@redistributed – Eltham is actually quite progressive. There is a notable artist population (Montsalvat) and the overall leafy, affluent nature of the area means a lot of tree-changers and also in general environmentally conscious people.
While the Libs can make inroads they aren’t winning this seat anytime soon. If it crosses the yara into Menzies the just maybe