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wouldnt be surprised if the nats finally pick this up though it might be a very marginal retain. cant see them holding in it in 2028 though
I predict a Labor retain. I sense he has a personal vote and might get a sophomore boost. Newcastle is gentrifying and many white-collar professionals commute from a Central Coast and Newcastle Line station to Sydney for work at least one day a week and working remotely for the rest.
There’s no Nationals candidate yet which might suggest they’re not that keen here. Many safer Labor seats and teal seats in NSW already have coalition candidates. It might be time for a Liberal, instead of a National, to run at a future election.
@votante they’re better off running both in places like this Richmond and whitlam. It costs them nothing but a couple grand to nominate which they get back anyway. They then hedge their bets and any vote comes back anyway. I think it will be a Labor retain but reduced margin in line with state wide swing expected.