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it is just interesting to see if the Greens made the 2CP on state figures
@Nimalan I would estimate that Labor got about 37%, the LNP got 35% and the Greens got 25% or something like that.
That’s on primaries by the way so the other 3% is One Nation.
Also now I’ve done all the Brisbane seats I can start on the three Gold Coast seats and Herbert then later the regional seats.
My opiion, the Abortion issue hurt the Greens vote too at the state Election, so the State figures in Griffith don’t mean a lot.
Unless Labor can weaponise Abortion at the Federal Poll, which might be it’s only chance of a win.
Then i’d say they’re regaining Griffith and Brisbane and holding Moreton and Lilley..
@ NP
So the Greens will be knocked out of the 2CP hypothetically if the numbers were repeated.
greens should remain in the 2cp here
@Nimalan yes, but I don’t see it happening to be honest.
The only seat in Griffith that the Greens didn’t finish third in was South Brisbane where they finished first and lost on LNP preferences. What should scare the Greens though is that while MCM’s high profile should mean he’s fine, South Brisbane is meant to be the best place for the Greens in all of Queensland.
@ NP
I dont see the Greens getting knocked out the 2CP in Griffith either. It is probably my advice to them not to get too cocky and try to win Moreton and watch their back in a seat like Brisbane. The big mistake that the Greens made at the QLD state election they targeted too many seats in fact they had a 10 seat strategy they failed to watch their back in South Brisbane with a reverse of preference flows.